Monsoon Set to Advance Across Northern India Soon by Amit Gupta, Kedia Advisory
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) expects the southwest monsoon to advance into several northern states over the next five to six days, bringing relief from prolonged heat. The monsoon is likely to cover more parts of Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh, Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh, and southeast Rajasthan. However, severe heatwave conditions are expected to persist in parts of Uttar Pradesh before rainfall arrives. Delhi recorded its warmest morning in two years as delayed monsoon conditions kept temperatures and humidity unusually high. Weather agencies expect rainfall activity to strengthen across northwestern India from early July.
Key Highlights
- IMD expects the southwest monsoon to advance into northern states within 5-6 days.
- Delhi recorded its warmest morning in two years amid delayed monsoon arrival.
- Heatwave conditions may persist in Uttar Pradesh before rainfall begins.
- Rainfall activity is expected to increase across northwest India from early July.
- Thunderstorms and moderate to heavy rain are forecast for several northern states.
The southwest monsoon is expected to make significant progress across northern India over the next five to six days, according to the India Meteorological Department (IMD). Improved weather conditions are likely to bring much-needed rainfall to several states after an extended spell of above-normal temperatures and delayed seasonal precipitation.
The IMD said favorable atmospheric conditions are developing for the monsoon to advance into additional parts of Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh, Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh, and southeast Rajasthan. The weather system is expected to gradually strengthen, increasing rainfall activity across much of northwest India during the first week of July.
Despite the anticipated improvement, heatwave conditions continue to dominate several regions. Delhi experienced its warmest morning in two years, with the minimum temperature reaching 31.1°C and the maximum touching 41.8°C. High humidity combined with persistent dry westerly winds pushed the "feels-like" temperature above 50°C. According to weather experts, the delayed arrival of the monsoon has prolonged uncomfortable weather conditions across the national capital.
The IMD has also warned of severe heatwave conditions in parts of Uttar Pradesh on July 28 and 29 before monsoon showers provide relief. Thunderstorms accompanied by lightning and gusty winds are expected across eastern Uttar Pradesh during the transition period.
Elsewhere, Himachal Pradesh is likely to witness a prolonged wet spell until July 4 under the influence of a fresh western disturbance, while Uttarakhand, Punjab, Haryana, and Rajasthan are expected to receive scattered to moderate rainfall along with thunderstorms and strong winds. Jammu & Kashmir is also likely to experience pre-monsoon showers and localized heavy rainfall over the coming days.
Finally, the advancing southwest monsoon is expected to bring widespread rainfall and gradually ease heatwave conditions across northern India, supporting agricultural activities and improving overall weather conditions.
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