Equity Outlook February 2024 by Tata Mutual Fund
MARKET PERFORMANCE
BROAD MARKET UPDATE
* Indian benchmark equity indices broke a two-month gaining streak on back of mixed corporate earnings results, profit booking and easing expectations of rate cuts by the US Fed, Nifty was flat in Jan 2024 (-0.03%) .
* Notably, the index was extremely volatile and swung around 860 points before closing 6 points lower.
GLOBAL MARKETS PERFORMANCE
* Following the ‘almost everything rally’ that characterized the final quarter of 2023, performance was mixed in January 2024.
* Segments of risk assets were buoyed as economic data further fueled hopes for a ‘soft landing’. This optimism was slightly tempered at the end of the month when the struck a less dovish tone at its January meeting.
* In China, the domestic economy continued to struggle, with weak retail sales and deterioration in housing activity. Although the PBOC announced a number of stimulus measures, they were insufficient to re-ignite activity.
SECTORAL PERFORMANCE
* All major sectors except media, private bank, bank, financial services, FMCG gained in Jan 2024.
* For the year ending Jan 24, Realty (108%) and PSU Bank (57%) made the highest gains while Bank (13%) was the lowest performer.
MARKET CAP PERFORMANCE
* Mid-cap and small cap index continue to outperform the large cap index on both 1 month and 1 year period.
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Indian markets to deliver positive returns for 9th year in a row, outperform US