Buy Coottancandy Nov @ 56500 SL 56200 TGT 57000-57400. MCX - Kedia Advisory
Cottoncandy
Cottoncandy prices settled down by 0.42% at 56,680, as weak demand in yarn markets and payment constraints put pressure on prices. The USDA has revised India’s cotton production forecast for the 2024-25 season down to 30.72 million bales, citing crop damage from excessive rains and pest issues, leading to lower ending stocks at 12.38 million bales. Despite this, global cotton production is projected to rise by over 200,000 bales, driven by increased output in China, Brazil, and Argentina, which offsets reductions in the U.S. and Spain. In India, cotton acreage has decreased by 9% to 110.49 lakh hectares compared to last year, and production is expected to fall by 7.4% to 30.2 million bales. This lower production will reduce India’s cotton exports, while imports are projected to rise to 2.5 million bales from 1.75 million bales last year. The reduction in planted area, particularly in Gujarat where farmers have shifted to groundnuts, is a key factor in the production decline. On the U.S. front, the cotton balance sheet for 2024/25 has been revised with lower production and exports due to hurricane damage, reducing U.S. output to 14.2 million bales. Global cotton trade is also expected to shrink, mainly due to lower Chinese imports. Technically, the market is under long liquidation, with open interest remaining unchanged. Cottoncandy is currently finding support at 56,380, and a break below this level could lead to a test of 56,090. On the upside, resistance is seen at 57,180, and a move above this could push prices toward 57,690.
BUY COTTONCANDY NOV @ 56500 SL 56200 TGT 57000-57400. MCX
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