Buy Titan Company Ltd For Target Rs. 2,817 - Centrum Broking Ltd
Healthy revenues momentum across divisions
Titan’s Q2FY23 business update point out that company has witnessed standalone revenue growth of 18.0%, while TEAL grew 139.0%; Caratlane grew at 56.0% YoY, driven by (a) festival demand influenced by Navratri, (b) lower gold prices, and (c) network expansion. Interestingly jewelry sales witnessed robust growth of 18.0% despite high base (pent?up demand and spill over purchases of Covid disrupted Q1FY22). Gold jewelry clocked low double digit growth whereas studded reported higher than overall divisions led by activations along with higher contribution from premiumsiation. In Q2, Titan added 105 stores across divisions/ formats. Watches & Wearables achieved its highest ever quarterly revenue with 20.0% growth. Despite weak start in Jul/Aug, demand recovered in Sept’22 and remained robust given the strong buying occasions such as Navratri. We remain positive on growth prospects for Titan and retain Buy with DCF?based TP Rs2,817 (implying 69.5x FY24E EPS).
Jewelry segment witnessed 18% growth led by strong footfall
Jewelry revenues (ex. Bullion) witnessed robust sales growth of 18.0% despite on a high base of Q2FY22 (pent up demand and spill over purchases of Covid disrupted Q1FY22). Management alluded it to (a) festival demand influenced by Navratri, (b) lower gold prices, (c) growth in studded share, and (d) higher contribution from premiumsiation. Interestingly plain gold jewelry clocked low double digit growth yet management opined, improved product mix though lower than pre?pandemic levels.
Highest ever quarterly sales for watches and wearables division
Watches and wearables division saw highest?ever quarterly revenue, achieved its highest ever quarterly revenue in Q2FY23 growing 20.0% YoY with healthy growth witnessed across all brands and products. Management attributed tailwind demand has been observed led by product differentiation and premiumisation which led to higher volume along with growth in avg. selling price, (b) new product launched, and (c) net store addition – 7/14 new stores under Titan World/ Helios totalling to 905 stores.
Caratlane (72.3% sub.) reported impressive growth at 56%; TEAL increased 139%
Caratlane (72.3% sub) grew 56.0% YoY on the back of higher promotion during Raksha Bandhan and launching of hero during the quarter. Studded contributed 70% on revenue despite on a high base of last year. TEAL grew by 139.0% YoY led by Aerospace and Defence (240%) followed by Automation Solutions (139.0%) during the quarter.
Valuation driven by potential earnings upside
We expect continued uptick in revenues, as the demand is expected to be robust given the strong buying occasions such as Navratri at end Sep’22. Though Q2 started with weak consumer footfall in Jul/Aug due to sharaddh period, Sept’22 saw strong recovery. We believe the continued sales momentum across business divisions would have positive impact on the organized Jewelry retail benefiting players like Titan. In addition, we expect strong demand momentum for Watches and Eyewear to continue given consumer mobility. We retain our earnings and maintain BUY, with a DCF?based TP Rs2,817 (implying 69.5x FY24E EPS).
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