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Published on 20-10-2025 05:14 pm

Bank Nifty has recently witnessed a strong recovery and is currently trading at 56,520. The index successfully broke out of the 53,500–54,000 resistance zone and later retested this level, turning it into a solid support base before rebounding. This confirms a successful breakout retest, and a move above the recent swing high would further validate the bullish momentum. Moreover, Bank Nifty is trading above the 20-week, 50-week, and 200-week EMAs, indicating strong bullish undertones

The Weekly RSI stands at 62.18, placing it in the neutral zone and suggesting some room for consolidation before the next major upward move. Despite this, the overall price structure remains positive, as Bank Nifty continues to form higher highs and higher lows on the weekly timeframe — a classic sign of a sustained uptrend.

The index is expected to find strong support between 54,000–53,500, offering a favorable buying opportunity for long-term investors. Any correction toward this zone should be viewed as a healthy pullback, allowing the index to build momentum for the next leg of the rally. As long as Bank Nifty holds above this key support, the bullish outlook remains intact.

Looking ahead, Bank Nifty has the potential to reach 60,000–62,500 levels by Diwali 2026, supported by strong fundamentals within the banking sector. A “buy on dips” strategy is recommended, as the index remains well-positioned for continued medium- to long-term growth.

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Published on 20-10-2025 05:13 pm

As we approach Diwali 2025, Nifty has been trading in a sideways range after witnessing a strong bounce from its demand zone. This ongoing consolidation phase can be seen as a healthy pause within the broader uptrend and may offer a strategic buying opportunity for investors. The chart structure indicates that the market is stabilizing, creating a favorable environment for long-term investors.

The Cup and Handle formation observed on the weekly timeframe further strengthens the bullish setup. The lower band of this sideways range aligns closely with the short-term 20-day EMA, providing additional technical support in the 24,000–23,800 zone. A rebound from these levels could mark the beginning of a renewed upward move.

For investors with a long-term horizon, the current consolidation phase presents a golden opportunity to accumulate quality stocks at attractive valuations. Gradual or partial accumulation during this phase could help build a strong portfolio foundation ahead of the next market uptrend.

If Nifty successfully holds above its support zone and manages to give a sustainable breakout move, it could resume its upward trend, with broader market participation likely to follow. Stocks selected during this consolidation phase are expected to outperform in the coming months as sentiment improves

Looking ahead, Nifty is expected to target 26,500 and 28,000 by Diwali 2026, offering substantial upside potential. Investors positioning themselves during this consolidation may benefit from a robust market recovery as economic fundamentals remain supportive of growth. Building a resilient portfolio this Diwali could set the stage for significant long-term wealth creation.

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Published on 20-10-2025 05:09 pm

V I P Industries Ltd

* VIP Industries, a leading player in India’s INR170b luggage market, has outpaced industry growth, delivering a revenue CAGR of 19% over FY22–25

* With a scalable, profitable digital engine complementing its offline leadership, VIP is wellplaced to capture long-term market share gains

* We expect VIP to deliver industry-beating growth, by leveraging the integrated strategy of premiumization, digital scale and margin accretive supply chain

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Published on 20-10-2025 05:02 pm

Outlook

Samvat 2082 begins on a positive note, thanks to a combination of fiscal and monetary tailwinds. The RBI has cut the repo rate by 100 bps and CRR by 150 bps, together with several measures, injecting much-needed liquidity into the system. This, coupled with the income tax relief of Rs.1 lakh crore, would aid demand revival and improved potential for corporate earnings. Inflation remains comfortably low while the GST 2.0 has simplified rates and revived consumer sentiment. We believe this marks the beginning of a turnaround in India's domestic growth momentum, with significant pick up in consumption paving the way for a robust revival in the private capex cycle. This, along with the improving earnings trajectory, should lend support to Indian equities.

We perceive H2FY26 to mark the crossing-over from a subdued low-single-digit earnings growth to a more sustainable double-digit earnings growth. Nifty earnings growth is expected at a healthy 8%/16% YoY in FY26/FY27 as compared to 1% in FY25. Also, Nifty valuations are reasonable at about 20x FY26 earnings, close to long-term averages. However, mid and smallcap trades at a slight premium; thus one needs to follow a selective approach in stock picking. For Samvat 2082, we expect domestic cyclicals and structural growth themes to do well. We are positive on sectors such as BFSI and Capital Markets, Consumption, Manufacturing (EMS/Defence/Industrial) and Digital.

Our last year's Diwali picks have done well, with stocks such as Eternal (+37%), Amber Enterprises (+33%), ICICI Bank (+11%), L&T (+10%) making significant gains, while the overall portfolio generated 4.8% returns (including dividends) - outperforming Nifty's gain of 3.6% over Samvat 2081.

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Published on 20-10-2025 11:12 am

* Maximum Call OI is at 26000 then 25800 strike while Maximum Put OI is at 25500 then 25700 strike.

* Call writing is seen at 25800 then 25900 strike while Put writing is seen at 25700 then 25600 strike.

* Option data suggests a broader trading range in between 25200 to 26100 zones while an immediate range between 25500 to 25900 levels.

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