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GEPL Capital

OUTLOOK

Published on 14-10-2026 10:25 am

10 Year Benchmark Technical View :

The 10 year Benchmark (6.94% GS 2036) yield likely to move in the range of 7.35% to 7.37% level on Wednesday.

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GEPL Capital

OUTLOOK

Published on 14-10-2026 10:25 am

Global Debt Market:

Bond yields fell on Tuesday after energy prices moved lower in early trade, as investors look ahead to key economic data releases this week, including the latest U.S. inflation print. The 10-year Treasury note yield the main benchmark for mortgages, auto loans, and credit card debt fell more than 5 basis points to 5.1937%. The yield on longer-dated 30-year U.S. Treasury’s which tend to move on geopolitical events was down 4 basis points at 5.5580%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury note, which more closely follows short-term Federal Reserve rate decisions, fell more than 2 basis points to 4.7658%. U.S. Treasury markets reopened for trade Tuesday after closing Monday for the Columbus Day holiday. The slide in borrowing costs follows a sharp fall in oil prices Tuesday, as investors continue to gauge the prospect of more Russian diesel entering global energy markets following the U.S.-brokered so-called ‘energy ceasefire’ between Russia and Ukraine. West Texas Intermediate futures for November delivery were 1.49% lower at $92.34 a barrel by 3:50 a.m. E.T. Investors are gearing up for a flurry of domestic economic data releases this week, which will offer clearer insights into the U.S. inflation picture and interest rate trajectory. September’s annual inflation rate due out Wednesday is expected to come in at 3.7%, according to consensus forecasts, up from August’s 3.4% print. Consumer prices, which exclude food and energy, are expected to rise to 2.5% from 2.4% in August on an annualized basis. The inflation data will be followed on Thursday by September’s monthly producer price index and retail sales data.

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GEPL Capital

OUTLOOK

Published on 14-10-2026 10:24 am

Government Security Market:

* The Inter-bank call money rate traded in the range of 4.50% - 5.75% on Tuesday ended at 5.15% .

* The 10 year benchmark (6.94% GS 2036) closed at 7.3655% on Tuesday Vs 7.3857% on Monday .

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GEPL Capital

OUTLOOK

Published on 14-10-2026 10:24 am

Global News

• Dollar eases ahead of US inflation data as markets reassess Fed rate-hike expectations: The US dollar index slipped 0.02% to 102.16 after falling 0.35% in the previous session, as easing oil prices and reduced expectations of an immediate Fed rate hike weighed on the greenback ahead of September CPI data. US inflation is expected to accelerate to 3.6% YoY from 3.4% in August, keeping concerns over further monetary tightening alive. However, markets now see a 77% probability of the Fed holding rates unchanged at its October 27–28 meeting, up from 51% a month ago. Meanwhile, the euro rose 0.04% to $1.1203, the yen remained steady at 158.32 per dollar, and sterling gained 0.03% to $1.3256 as investors awaited fresh inflation data and Fed commentary for policy cues.

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GEPL Capital

OUTLOOK

Published on 14-10-2026 10:23 am

Economic News

• over 400 infra projects worth Rs 20.23 lakh cr recommended for approval: Over 400 infrastructure projects worth approximately Rs 20.23 lakh crore have been approved under the PM GatiShakti initiative. The initiative aims to reduce logistics costs by developing integrated infrastructure across India. It integrates more than 1,800 data layers covering various sectors, including transportation and telecommunication. The Network Planning Group reviewed these projects for investments exceeding Rs 500 crore. This digital platform enhances data-driven infrastructure planning and management throughout the country.

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