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TRADING CALLS

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Kedia Commodities

SELL

Published on 16-10-2025 10:51 am

SELL JPYINR OCT @ 58.5 SL 58.7 TGT 58.3-58.1.

Observations

JPYINR trading range for the day is 58.2-58.72.

JPY dropped as markets remain uncertain whether ruling Liberal Democratic Party leader Sanae Takaichi will become the next prime minister.

JPY drew additional support from safe-haven demand amid escalating US-China tensions, after Trump threatened Beijing with a cooking oil embargo.

Takaichi, spurred bets on increased fiscal spending and loose monetary policy, typically weighing on the yen while boosting equities.

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Kedia Commodities

SELL

Published on 16-10-2025 10:51 am

SELL GBPINR OCT @ 118 SL 118.3 TGT 117.7-117.4.

Observations

GBPINR trading range for the day is 117.1-118.88.

GBP down after weaker wage growth data raised expectations that the Bank of England could continue cutting interest rates, albeit gradually.

The latest UK jobs report showed regular pay growth eased to 4.7% in June–August 2025, down slightly from 4.8% in the previous three months.

Money markets are now pricing in almost nine basis points of Bank of England interest rate cuts by year-end, up from five basis points before the labor report.

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Kedia Commodities

SELL

Published on 16-10-2025 10:50 am

SELL EURINR OCT @ 102.7 SL 103 TGT 102.4-102.1.

Observations

EURINR trading range for the day is 101.9-103.6.

Euro dropped amid Rupee firmness after support seen as dovish comments from Fed Powell strengthened expectations for more US rate cuts.

German investor sentiment improved in October, but less than expected, adding to cautious market sentiment.

French Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu pledged to suspend a landmark pension reform until after the 2027 election, easing some political uncertainty.

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Kedia Commodities

SELL

Published on 16-10-2025 10:50 am

SELL USDINR OCT @ 88.15 SL 88.3 TGT 88-87.8.

Observations

USDINR trading range for the day is 87.14-89.34.

Rupee strengthened, hitting its highest level in nearly a month, after the Reserve Bank of India took aggressive steps to counter heavy selling pressure.

Early dollar sales by state-run banks prompted traders to unwind positions, fueling a swift rebound in the currency.

Meanwhile, ongoing softness in dollar offered additional support, following Fed Powell’s remarks that reinforced expectations of further US monetary easing.

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Nirmal Bang Securities Pvt Ltd

OUTLOOK

Published on 16-10-2025 10:09 am

Currency:

The U.S. dollar slipped on Thursday as the Sino-U.S. trade war sapped investor sentiment, while growing confidence of the U.S. Federal Reserve cutting its policy interest rate this year also weighed on the greenback.

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