Published on 15/07/2019 9:45:44 AM | Source: Angel Broking Pvt Ltd

Fundamental Outlook 15 July 2019 - INR, EUR, GBP by Angel Broking Pvt Ltd

Posted in Currency Report| #Currency Tips #Angel Broking Pvt Ltd

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Key Highlights

* ECB meeting minutes comes out dovish

* Rate cut possibilities by US FED increases

* Electoral uncertainties weigh on Pound


Indian rupee

Indian Rupee appreciated by 0.1 percent last week while the Dollar decreased by 0.39 during the same time frame. Meanwhile, the Economic Survey 2019 stressed the need to give a huge boost to spending and reforms to accelerate higher rate of expansion to double the economy's size to $5 trillion by 2024-25.

The testimony document showed that US policymakers consider that uncertainties since the June meeting have continued dimming the economic outlook, highlighting that trade tensions remain a critical issue. Furthermore, the Fed now thinks that there’s a risk weak inflation will be more persistent than anticipated, while, despite believing the jobs’ market remains strong, the current rise in wages, despite at healthy levels, is falling short from pushing inflation higher. Meanwhile, CPI data from US came in at 0.1 percent for June’19 against market expectations of 0 percent. Nonfarm payroll data came in at 224,000 against market expectations of 162,000 for June’19.

USDINR is expected to move sideways in today’s session



EURUSD appreciated by 0.4 percent last week while EURINR depreciated by 0.29 percent the same time frame.

ECB’s latest meeting accounts reminded speculative interest that the European Central Bank is also in the dovish path, as the document showed that policymakers are ready to ease further as appropriate, using all the available tools, including resuming asset repurchase program and cutting rates.

EURINR is expected to move sideways in today’s session



GBP increased against USD by 0.04 percent last week while GBPINR appreciated by 0.08 percent.

Ireland's finance minister Paschal Donohoe, who said that the prospect of a disorderly Brexit is now a "significant risk." Also, the Labour Party leader, Jeremy Corbyn, said that the upcoming UK PM should test his Brexit plan with a second referendum. Meanwhile, BOE signals that British banks hold enough capital to cope with a no deal Brexit and global trade war simultaneously.

GBPINR is expected to move sideways in today’s session.



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