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Published on 07-11-2025 10:11 am

10 Year Benchmark Technical View :

The 10 year Benchmark (6.33% GS 2035) yield likely to move in the range of 6.50% to 6.52% level on Friday

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GEPL Capital

OUTLOOK

Published on 07-11-2025 10:11 am

Global Debt Market:

US Treasury advanced and traders boosted wagers on Federal Reserve interestrate cuts after data pointed to a stumbling US jobs market. Yields on US 10- year debt fell three basis points to 4.13%, while two-year notes — among the most sensitive to changes in monetary policy dropped to 3.60%. Swaps tied to policy-meeting dates now imply a 60% chance of a quarter-point reduction next month, up from around 50% on Wednesday. The gains came after numbers from Challenger, Gray & Christmas Inc. showed US companies announced the most job cuts for any October in more than two decades. Traders are focused on data from private firms as the record US government shutdown interferes with the normal release of state statistics. “This adds to the Fed’s cautious/ dovish rhetoric on the labour market,” said Evelyne Gomez-Liechti, a strategist at Mizuho International Plc. Earlier this week, the Fed’s Lisa Cook said labormarket concerns outweigh inflation risks. The numbers offer monthly snapshots of the labor market, making them key inputs into investors’ outlook for the US Economy as well as Federal Reserve decision-making on interest-rate policy. Data released earlier this month by ADP Research painted a better-than -expected jobs picture for October.

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Published on 07-11-2025 10:10 am

Government Security Market:

* The Inter-bank call money rate traded in the range of 4.80%- 5.50% on Thursday ended at 4.95%.

* The 10 year benchmark (6.33% GS 2035) closed at 6.5150% on Thursday Vs 6.5279% on Tuesday .

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GEPL Capital

OUTLOOK

Published on 07-11-2025 10:10 am

Global News

* AI Disruption Triggers Record October Job Cuts in the US: US companies announced 153,074 job cuts in October, nearly triple last year’s figure and the highest for the month since 2003, as AI adoption, cost-cutting, and weak demand reshape industries, according to Challenger, Gray & Christmas. The technology and warehousing sectors led the reductions, with firms like Amazon, Target, Paramount Skydance, Starbucks, Delta, CarMax, Rivian, and Molson Coors slashing jobs. Year-to-date layoffs have topped 1 million, while hiring plans are at their lowest since 2011, signaling a loosening labor market. Despite hopes for a late-season rebound, analysts expect a muted hiring environment in 2025 as corporate spending and consumer demand soften.

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GEPL Capital

OUTLOOK

Published on 07-11-2025 10:10 am

Economic News

* Trump Praises PM Modi, Hints at India Visit as Trade Deal Nears Final Stages: US President Donald Trump praised Prime Minister Narendra Modi as “a great man” and “a friend,” hinting at a possible visit to India next year to strengthen trade ties. Speaking at the White House, Trump said his talks with Modi were “going great” and noted that India had “largely stopped buying from Russia.” Meanwhile, both nations are in the final stages of negotiating a bilateral trade agreement, expected to be finalized by late 2025, aimed at boosting trade volumes from $191 billion to $500 billion by 2030. Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal recently led discussions in the US, while American officials led by Brendan Lynch held “positive and forward-looking” talks in New Delhi to expedite the deal.

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