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Below a perspective on Q1 GDP Data for FY24 by Mr. Vivek Rathi, Director - Research, Knight Frank India. “Q1 FY 2023-24 GDP growth rate of 7.8% was led by growth of domestic consumption and investment activity in the economy, stabilising the potential slowdown due to receding global demand. Private consumption expenditure which comprises majority weight in the GDP estimates grew by 6%. Domestic investments as well has indicated some strength, as seen in 7% growth in GC...
Perspective on Q1 GDP Data for FY24 by Mr. Vivek Rathi, Knight Frank India.
Below is Perspective on Q4 GDP FY23 By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Director Research, Knight Frank India. “A 7.2% economic growth in FY23, indicates resilience in India’s economy despite multiple global headwinds during the year arising from economic and geo-political uncertainties. India’s economic growth was primarily driven by strong domestic macro-economic fundamentals. Private consumption expenditure which comprises 61% of weightage in the GDP estimates gre...
Quote on Q4 GDP FY23 By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Knight Frank India
Below Quote on IIP and CPI Numbers By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Director Research, Knight Frank India “Inflation moderated to sub 5% in April 2023 primarily supported by a high base and softening of vegetable prices and energy prices. When measured sequentially, the consumer inflation has inched up by 0.5%. Despite a relative moderation across the categories, the inflation levels are still elevated impacting the discretionary spending of the households. The wh...
Quote on IIP and CPI Numbers; Softening of Industrial production growth in Mar 2023 is led by moderating growth in manufacturing output Says Mr. Vivek Rathi, Knight Frank India
below the quote on talks of Stamp Duty Reduction in Maharashtra by Mr. Vivek Rathi, Director Research, Knight Frank India for your perusal “While any form of fiscal or tax incentive for homebuying is a welcome move, particularly the stamp duty incentive in large markets like Mumbai and Pune had served as a crucial catalyst even during the peak pandemic period of 2020 and 2021. The market not just recovered from the ebbs of pandemic, but also charted...
Quote on talks of Stamp Duty Reduction in Maharashtra by Mr. Vivek Rathi, Director Research, Knight Frank India for your perusal.
Below Quote on IIP and CPI Numbers By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Director Research, Knight Frank India “Consumer headline inflation moderated to 5.7% in Mar’23 primarily supported by softening food prices, especially vegetables. Fuel inflation as well eased to 8.9%, however, with the recent surge of 15% in brent crude prices, following the crude oil production cut by the OPEC countries, the risks to increase in fuel prices remain on the upside. However, the price press...
Quote on IIP and CPI Numbers; Consumer headline inflation moderated to 5.7% in March 2023 Says Mr. Vivek Rathi, Knight Frank India
Below Perspective on NSE's Announcement on REITs & InvITs by Mr. Vivek Rathi, Director- Research, Knight Frank India. The launch of Index products in the REIT investment space is a signal of a maturing Indian commercial real estate market, which offers value to not just global CRE occupiers but investors as well. With the rising trend of passive and direct investing in an emerging market like India, retail and institutional investors will find value in these Index pr...
Perspective on NSE`s Announcement on REITs & InvITs By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Knight Frank India
Below is Perspective on GDP Numbers for Q3 FY23 By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Director Research, Knight Frank India. Moderation in India’s Q3 FY23 growth is emerging from slowdown in private consumption which contributes 60% to the economic growth. The slowdown in private consumption could have been emerged from sharp inflationary pressure. Inflation average at 7% thus far in FY23, this potentially have dented the personal disposable income of the consumers which in turn has imp...
Perspective on GDP Numbers for Q3 FY23 By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Knight Frank India
Perspective on CPI numbers By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Director-Research, Knight Frank India “After softening to sub 6% for two consecutive months, headline inflation in India inched back to 6.5% in Jan 2023 which can get concerning for the RBI. The spike in Jan 2023 headline inflation was led by surge in food prices, primarily cereals. Inflationary pressure in Jan 2023 was witnessed across non-food categories as well. Prices rise in categories such as clothing & footwe...
Inflationary pressure in January 2023 was witnessed across non-food categories as well Says Mr. Vivek Rathi, Knight Frank India
Below Quote on IIP Data By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Director Research, Knight Frank India. “Softening in industrial production growth rate to 4.3% in Dec 2022, is primarily emerging from softening in manufacturing sector output. Though, the indicators such as manufacturing PMI, capacity utilization etc. which gauge the performance of manufacturing sector, have been strong, the same quantum of strength is not witnessed in industrial production of manufacturing sector. Infrastructure/c...
Quote on IIP: Softening in industrial production growth rate to 4.3% in December 2022 Says Vivek Rathi , Knight Frank India
Below the expectations quote on the upcoming RBI MPC announcement by Mr. Vivek Rathi- Director Research, Knight Frank India “In its upcoming policy meeting, we expect the RBI to hike repo rate moderately by 20 to 25 bps as inflation has softened to below 6% in the last two months. With inflation coming under control and reduced pace of US Fed rate hike, the focus of the RBI is now likely to shift towards maintaining growth, which can moderate in the coming financial ye...
RBI Monetary Policy : We expect the RBI to hike repo rate moderately by 20 to 25 bps Says Vivek Rathi , Knight Frank India
Below is Perspective on Econmic Survey By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Director Research, Knight Frank India “The theme of Economic Survey is resilience demonstrated by the Indian economy amid challenges posed by geopolitical events in this period. At 7% GDP growth in FY23 and 6-6.8% growth in FY24, India will continue to hold its fastest growing large nation tag. This will create tailwinds for the Indian economy as global capital and technology finds India a bright spot to participate...
Economic Survey is resilience demonstrated by the Indian economy amid challenges posed by geopolitical events in this period Says Vivek Rathi, Knight Frank India
Below is Perspective on IIP numbers By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Director Research, Knight Frank India. At 5.7%, consumer headline inflation continues to remain below 6% for the second consecutive month. The softening inflation is emerging from broad based price decline in the food basket which has a weightage of 46% in the overall inflation. Barring food prices, the price pressures in the non-food category continues to persist. Despite a sharp drop in the global commodity prices and...
Perspective on IIP and CPI numbers : At 5.7%, consumer headline inflation continues to remain below 6% Says Mr. Vivek Rathi, Director-Research, Knight Frank India
Below is Perspective on Q2 FY23 GDP Data By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Director Research, Knight Frank India. 6.3% GDP growth witnessed in Q2 FY23 was primarily supported by resilience in private consumption despite increasing inflation and headwinds from global spill overs. Although, inflation averaged significantly high at 7% during the quarter, the domestic consumption remained strong, as seen in 9.7% of growth in private consumption which accounts to nearly 60% of the GDP. In...
Perspective on Q2 FY-23 GDP Data By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Knight Frank India
The Index of Industrial Production (IIP) rose by 3.1 per cent to 133.5 in September, according to official data released by the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) on Friday. The growth in the industrial index was aided by all major sectors like mining, which rose 4.6 per cent to 99.5 in September, manufacturing sector, which grew 1.8 per cent to 134.3, and the electricity sector, which soared 11.6 per cent to 187.4, according to the official data. Expressing sat...
IIP up 3.1% in September, experts say growth higher than expectations
Below Perspective on IIP and CPI 13 October 2022 By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Director-Research, Knight Frank India "At 7.41%, consumer inflation in the economy continues to remain defiant due to increasing food prices. The future trajectory of inflation is on the upside, pressurized by import inflation arising from sharp rupee depreciation. Price pressure on import of crude oil shall have a cascading impact on other items of the basket too. Additionally factors s...
Perspective on IIP and CPI: At 7.41% consumer inflation in the economy continues to remain defiant due to increasing food prices Says Mr. Vivek Rathi, Knight Frank India
Perspective on IIP and CPI numbers By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Director-Research, Knight Frank India "Inflation levels in the economy remain elevated despite a considerable reduction in crude oil price from its recent highs. Rise in food prices, domestic fuel price level and pressure on the Indian currency continue to pose near term threat on inflation trajectory. These will also guide the upcoming monetary policy action, which has so far already witnessed three policy rate hik...
Inflation levels in the economy remain elevated despite a considerable reduction in crude oil price from its recent highs Says Mr. Vivek Rathi, Knight Frank India
Perspective on Q1 GDP Data for FY23 By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Director-Research, Knight Frank India “India’s real GDP witnessed a double-digit growth of 13.5% in Q1 FY23, due to a favourable base, however, when measured sequentially, the economy contracted by 9.6% QoQ. Although domestic economic activities remained resilient to global headwinds during Q1 FY23, high level of inflation led to moderation in real GDP in the economy. In Q1 FY23, consumer inflation averaged ...
We expect the momentum to continue supported by strong macro-economic fundamentals Says Vivek Rathi, Knight Frank India
Perspective on IIP and CPI numbers By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Director-Research, Knight Frank India "India’s headline inflation softened to 6.7% in Jul’22 primarily due to softening of food prices. The increase in fuel inflation despite government measures to curb domestic petrol and diesel prices taken a few months ago, is a concerning factor. Currently, the global crude and commodity prices have corrected, this should further soften inflation in India in the comi...
Perspective on IIP and CPI numbers By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Knight Frank India
Perspective on IIP and CPI numbers By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Director-Research, Knight Frank India " At 7% in June’22, headline consumer inflation continued to remain outside the RBI comfort zone with broad-based price rise across almost all the categories. Although elevated, various central government measures in the last two months such as reduction in petrol and diesel excise duties, cut in import duty on edible oils, curtailment measures on food exports, etc. h...
Perspective on IIP and CPI numbers By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Knight Frank India
Below is Perspective on CPI numbers By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Director Research, Knight Frank India. "India’s consumer inflation moderated to 7% supported by the government measures undertaken to curb domestic fuel and food prices in May 2022. However, the inflation levels are still above the RBIs’ upper limit of 6%. The narrowing gap between WPI and CPI further highlights the pass through of input costs rise from producers to consumers; as evident in elevated cor...
Perspective on CPI numbers By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Knight Frank India
Below is Perspective on IIP numbers By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Director Research, Knight Frank India. "A 7.1% industrial production growth in Apr’22 was strongly supported by low base during the severe COVID-19 second wave. However, the sequential decline reflects the weakness in numbers. The strength witnessed in early high frequency indicators such as manufacturing PMI, GST collection etc. is not yet translating into industrial production. Categorically, except for ele...
Perspective on IIP numbers By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Knight Frank India
Below is Perspective on Increase in lending rates by the Reserve Bank By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Director Research, Knight Frank India. “A 1% increase in home loan interest rate reduces house purchase affordability by 7.4%. We are on a landscape of rising interest rate and increasing property price, which will put pressure on affordability if they move beyond income growth. At the current juncture, strong income growth is supportive of homebuyer affordability. Hence, co...
Perspective on Increase in lending rates by the Reserve Bank - Vivek Rathi, Knight Frank India
Below is Perspective on Q4 GDP Data By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Director Research, Knight Frank India. “Global spill overs of supply shortages, crude oil shock and higher input costs thwarted India’s growth momentum in 4Q FY22. The impact of these factors was widely witnessed in high frequency mining, manufacturing, and construction indicators. So far in FY23, recovery in India’s domestic macros have been resilient to risks arising from global developments; howeve...
Perspective on Q4 GDP Data By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Knight Frank India
Below is Perspective on IIP CPI numbers By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Director Research, Knight Frank India. “In the chronology of events leading to high domestic consumer inflation, there were indications that it will continue to peak even for the April 2022 print. Hence, despite crude oil price cooling off from its peak levels in March, the cascading effect of increase in domestic fuel price is reflecting on the latest consumer inflation number. Besides, food inflation is also...
Perspective on IIP CPI numbers By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Knight Frank India
Below is perspective on first advance estimate of GDP for FY 2022 By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Director ‑ Research, Knight Frank India “Coming out from severe second wave, Indian economy has shown a remarkable progress. Several high frequency indicators have reached pre-COVID levels. Even the contact intensive and mobility dependent sectors like hospitality, aviation and tourism bounced back sharply from the second wave. Third wave and Omicron variant across the ...
Perspective on first advance estimate of GDP for FY 2022 By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Knight Frank India
Below is Perspective on CPI numbers By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Director Research, Knight Frank India. “While the CPI inflation level at 4.91% is within the central bank’s target range, it is still on the higher side of the band and has trended higher for second straight month. Fuel and transport costs remained the main constituents that pushed the level higher in this reading. These categories exert cost pressure on various input items. However, the extent to which increased...
Perspective on CPI numbers By Mr. Vivek Rathi, Knight Frank India
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