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Weekly Note on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Head of Equity Research, Samco Securities. Expectations for the week Mr. Market is expected to remain volatile due to a slew of market-moving events. On the macroeconomic front, investors will be watching FOMC minutes to see where the economy is headed. Furthermore, global markets would be influenced by China's inflation figures, which are due next week. Back home, the first quarter of fiscal year 23 earnings season w...
Weekly Market Note : Market is expected to remain volatile due to a slew of market-moving events By Ms. Yesha Shah, Samco Securities
Below is weekly note on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Head of Equity Research, Samco Securities Expectations of the week The S&P 500 and our banking index have officially entered the bear market territory and the fear witnessed this week is expected to continue. The movement of the dollar index, crude oil prices, and the evolving Covid situation in China and India will be closely watched. As there are no other major domestic or international macro events in the comi...
Weekly Note on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Samco Securities
Below is weekly note on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Head of Equity Research, Samco Securities Expectations of the week The S&P 500 and our banking index have officially entered the bear market territory and the fear witnessed this week is expected to continue. The movement of the dollar index, crude oil prices, and the evolving Covid situation in China and India will be closely watched. As there are no other major domestic or international macro events in the comi...
Weekly Note on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Samco Securities
Below is weekly note on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Head of Equity Research, Samco Securities Technical outlook Broadly in line with global market indices, Nifty ended negatively this week. The benchmark appears to be moving towards the support zone between 15,900 and 16,100. Despite the fact that this week's trading patterns suggest additional downside, the overall bearish momentum has moderated as Nifty is currently trading above the falling resistance line. As long ...
Weekly Note on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Samco Securities
Below are Quote on RBI Monetary policy from Yesha Shah, Head of Equity Research, Samco Securities Quite contrary to outcomes of the previous MPC meets, the rate hike and the subsequent steps announced this time have been fairly in line with the consensus estimates. While RBI’s stance has not changed to neutral, the subtle shift from the words “remaining accommodative” to “withdrawal of accommodation” is an important take-away. The MPC also increased its CPI es...
Quote on RBI Monetary policy By Yesha Shah, Samco Securities
Below is weekly note on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Head of Equity Research, Samco Securities Expectations of the week Inflation being a key factor will be the central point of all discussions in the coming week as China and United States’ inflation statistics will be released. Another significant event for domestic markets will be the outcome of the RBI MPC meeting. Market participants will try to read between the lines of the RBI's monetary policy and given the...
Weekly Note on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Samco Securities
Below is weekly note on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Head of Equity Research, Samco Securities Technical Outlook: This week, Nifty50 index closed marginally higher. The index continues to remain in oversold zones in short term which indicates a mild reversal from here is possible. Major developed and emerging market indexes are also indicating near-term bottom formations. Furthermore, a positive reversal is visible in Bank Nifty, which has been outperforming the benchmark s...
Weekly Note on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Samco Securities
Below is weekly note on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Head of Equity Research, Samco Securities Technical Outlook The Nifty 50 ended the week on a positive note and both the benchmark index and the Bank Nifty recovered from last week's lows. Despite the rebound, we feel the market has not reached its bottom, since price patterns on the Nifty show that the uptrend has been significantly harmed. Similarly, a Head and Shoulder breakdown has been seen on the weekly chart of ...
Weekly note on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Samco Securities
Below is weekly note on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Head of Equity Research, Samco Securities Expectations of the week Given a slew of macroeconomic releases, the current result season, and several IPOs that will open for subscription, the volatility seen this week is expected to persist. Global market movements will be determined by inflation numbers of United States and China. Data on India's industrial output, domestic inflation rates, and manufacturing output ...
Weekly note on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Samco Securities
Below is weekly note on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Head of Equity Research, Samco Securities Expectations of the week Globally, the FOMC meeting will be in the limelight and it is widely expected that a 50 basis points hike is on the cards. As market participants attempt to read between the lines of Fed’s policy actions, any surprises can result in panic reactions in global markets. In addition, the unemployment rate in US will also be monitored closely. Back h...
Weekly note on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Samco Securities
Technical Outlook Nifty 50 ended the week on a flattish note. Though mid-week a sharp fall was witnessed, the benchmark quickly recouped lost ground after re-testing the crucial support of 16,800. Since a month, Nifty Small-cap and Midcap indices have outperformed Nifty indicating bullishness in the broader markets. While the benchmark is likely to now remain range-bound between 16,800 to 18,100 levels, traders are advised to go into the next week with a bullish bias. However, a decisive b...
Weekly note on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Samco Securities
Below is weekly note on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Head of Equity Research, Samco Securities Technical Outlook Nifty 50 closed the week on a negative note taking cues from global indices and has closed just around its immediate support level of 17,450. On a weekly chart, the index has formed an evening star candlestick pattern, indicating bearishness. After the highs of October 2021, a lower top lower bottom pattern has been forming on the benchmark index. The broader ind...
Weekly note on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Samco Securities
Below is the weekly article on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Head of Equity Research, Samco Securities Technical Outlook While the Nifty 50 index ended the week positively, higher selling pressure was witnessed near 18,100 levels which led to a reversal of momentum. On the weekly chart, the index formed a shooting star candlestick pattern which suggests that there can be a short-term weakness in the market. Similarly, both the US and European indices are forming lower tops. Despit...
Inflation and results will take centre stage in the coming week By Ms. Yesha Shah, Samco Securities
Below is the weekly article on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Head of Equity Research, Samco Securities Can the war cool down our economy's steam? Markets commenced the week in a sour mood, but appeared to be reclaiming lost ground as tensions between Russia and Ukraine began to de-escalate. While the worst may appear to be over, a sustained spike in inflation may be on the cards, since consecutive sanctions imposed on Russia have spurred an unabated surge in commodi...
Can the war cool down our economy's steam? By Ms. Yesha Shah, Samco Securities
Below is the weekly article on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Head of Equity Research, Samco Securities This week, markets throughout the world witnessed bloodbaths as a result of the war-like scenario and geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine. Our frontline indexes, which were not immune to global worries, suffered a same atrocity. This resulted in a 3.58% drop in the week, and as anxieties grew, the India VIX reached its highest level since June'20. Although eve...
An opportunity amid crisis? By Ms. Yesha Shah, Samco Securities
Below is the weekly article on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Head of Equity Research, Samco Securities As Goes January, how will the year go? D-Street experienced wild swings and ended the week in red as the participants baked in the possibility of a faster than expected Fed rate hike given the soaring US inflation. Globally, markets have been remained turbulent since the start of the year and this volatility was extended to this week as well. While January has historically been a...
The weekly article on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Samco Securities
Below is the weekly article on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Head of Equity Research, Samco Securities Has your portfolio budgeted for the budget? As the big B-Day approached, Indian markets began the week on a positive note. D-street did extend this rally, owing to the non-populist and capex-focused budget. However, this bullish momentum witnessed early in the week could be attributed to a secular improvement in global market sentiments more than the budget. This...
Has your portfolio budgeted for the budget ? By Ms. Yesha Shah, Samco Securities
Below is the weekly article on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Head of Equity Research, Samco Securities Markets in chaos; Time to find the calm? Global markets were in the midst of a selloff this week, primarily due to the expectations of Fed's stance and mounting concerns in Ukraine about a potential war with Russia. Moving in sync, Dalal Street was painted red as the Indices began the week with their biggest decline since April 21. Spills of this bloodbath permeated into the ...
The weekly article on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Samco Securities
Below is the weekly article on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Head of Equity Research, Samco Securities Has the pre-budget consolidation begun? Following a quick sprint above 18,300, Indian bourses looked to be catching their breath this week. Global counterparts have been experiencing declines for quite some time, and it seemed that our markets are now following the global trend, rattled by rising bond yields and oil prices. The US 10-year treasury yield and India's 10-y...
The weekly article on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Samco Securities
Below is the weekly article on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Head of Equity Research, Samco Securities Indian bourses maintained their bullish approach as Nifty reclaimed the 18000-mark! Even though the market has been robust since the start of the New Year, it has certainly not been a dream start for the so-called new-age companies. From the beginning of this year, these companies have slumped in the range of 0.35% to 16.23%. Interestingly, owing to the fad around these stocks...
The weekly article on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Samco Securities
Below is the weekly article on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Head of Equity Research, Samco Securities Indian bourses maintained their bullish approach as Nifty reclaimed the 18000-mark! Even though the market has been robust since the start of the New Year, it has certainly not been a dream start for the so-called new-age companies. From the beginning of this year, these companies have slumped in the range of 0.35% to 16.23%. Interestingly, owing to the fad around these stocks...
The weekly article on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Samco Securities
Below is the weekly article on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Head of Equity Research, Samco Securities While bullstook charge with renewed zest this week, some trepidation was observed in the mid-week as markets interpreted the Fed’s hawkish policy minutes.As the Street hunts for catalysts to drive the rally this year, it appears that India's much-awaited capex cycle will potentially begin in 2022.Historically, during 2003-07, when India saw one of the remarkable cape...
Will capex spur the rally in 2022 ? By Ms. Yesha Shah, Samco Securities
Below is the weekly article on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Head of Equity Research, Samco Securities The rebound from the lows last week set the stage for a ‘Santa Claus Rally’ as sentiments in Indian indices remained optimistic. 2021 was a splendid year with Nifty 50 soaring over 24%. Interestingly, in the last decade of 2010 to 2019, whenever Nifty has delivered gains in excess of 15% in a calendar year, the following year has been a dud. For instance, a 27.70% ...
New Year, New Highs ? By Ms. Yesha Shah, Samco Securities
Below is the weekly article on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Head of Equity Research, Samco Securities Markets seemed to be getting into the Christmas spirit this week, with both the festive colours adorning trading terminals. After bleeding red on Monday, the exchanges lit up green, recovering significantly from their lows. This robust pullback may have signalled that the market is preparing to enter a phenomenon known as the 'Santa Claus Rally.' During this rally...
Is Santa Claus coming to D-Street ? By Ms. Yesha Shah, Samco Securities
Below is the weekly article on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Head of Equity Research, Samco Securities As markets around the world continued to calibrate the currents of inflation, monetary policies, and Omicron, the beacon of pessimism was passed on to domestic bourses as well. FIIs have been withdrawing funds on a daily basis this month. In fact, FIIs have been net sellers since April'21, with the exception of September'21. Bank Nifty has been a major victim of this s...
Bank Nifty index closed the week on a negative note By Ms. Yesha Shah, Samco Securities
Below is quote on This week's RBI MPC meeting helped boost market sentiment temporarily By Ms. Yesha Shah, Head of Equity Research, Samco Securities Did the MPC underplay inflation? Another week of market whipsaws as the overall sentiment remains 'Sell on Rise,' with Bears tightening their grip on every substantial upmove. This week's RBI MPC meeting helped boost market sentiment temporarily as the policy was more dovish than predicted. Contrary to market expe...
This week's RBI MPC meeting helped boost market sentiment temporarily By Ms. Yesha Shah, Samco Securities
Below is the weekly article on Market By Ms. Yesha Shah, Head of Equity Research, Samco Securities Jitters from the recent collapse witnessed have seeped into the first half of the week. However, as markets began to rebound with similar enthusiasm, it seems that D-street has started shrugging off these anxieties. Investors had reason to smile after seeing good economic statistics such as 8.4% GDP growth in Q2 and a manufacturing PMI of 57.6 reaching a 10-month hig...
Immediate support and resistance for Nifty 50 are now placed at 16,850 and 17,600 By Ms. Yesha Shah, Samco Securities
Below is quote on Bears Run Riot on D-Street! by posting a strong bearish candle By Ms. Yesha Shah, Head of Equity Research, Samco Securities Markets experienced Friday blues with bear crushing grip and erased the long standing gains made till lifetime highs of 18600. Although the sell-off eased a bit as the week passed by, the nervousness among market participants only escalated at the end. FPIs offloaded more than Rs. 15,300 Crs worth of Indian equities in the week signifying ...
Nifty 50 index closed strongly negative after volatile trading throughout the week By Ms. Yesha Shah, Samco Securities
Below is quote on Nifty 50 closed this week by posting a strong bearish candle By Ms. Yesha Shah, Head of Equity Research, Samco Securities Is the taper triggering a tantrum, again? The week that started with some optimism for D-Street, cracked in the last days as sentiments reversed. Since the FED announced that the bond tapering will be initiated later in this month, our benchmark indices have been lacking vitality. The key question to ponder is whether the markets’ tepid ...
Nifty 50 closed this week by posting a strong bearish candle By Ms. Yesha Shah, Samco Securities
Below is quote On Sectoral Rotation - A Time Tested Strategy Ms. Yesha Shah, Head of Equity Research, Samco Securities This week did end on a positive note but the broader breadth of the market continues to be indecisive. Retail investors and FIIs turned cautious and focused on better asset class opportunities other than equities in India and across the globe. Since the beginning of November, markets have been more or less range bound. However in the same short span, Nifty ...
Sectoral Rotation - A Time Tested Strategy By Ms. Yesha Shah, Samco Securities
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