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Below the perspective on the Q1 FY24 GDP data announcement By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Managing Director, Ladderup Wealth Management Pvt. Ltd “Though the GDP growth was lower than RBI expectations, India remains the fastest growing economy in the world at 7.8%. We expect the growth to moderate further in the coming quarters due to the potential slowdown in capex because of the upcoming elections and the impact of El Nino on the monsoon and the slowdown in exports”&n...
Reaction quote on Q1 FY24 GDP data announcement By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management Pvt. Ltd
Below The Reaction quote on CPI data By Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management Pvt. Ltd. “On expected lines, the inflation breached the RBI’s upper limit of 6%, though the inflation rose higher than expected jumping to 7.44%. Erratic monsoons over the past months attributed to a steeper-than-expected surge in the prices of vegetables. As seen by the Food and beverage inflation which rose to 10.57% during the month from 4.6% in the previous month. The vegetable prices are e...
Reaction quote on CPI data By Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management Pvt. Ltd.
Below the perspective on US Fed Reserve announcement Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Managing Director, Ladderup Wealth Management Pvt. Ltd “After a pause in June FED resumed the rate hike with the FED fund’s rate now at 5.25% - 5.50%, its highest level in the last 22 years. Markets had already anticipated this decision. The FED chief has indicated that further actions would be dependent on various reports expected before the next FED meeting. The key events to look out for in the ma...
Reaction quote on US Fed Reserve announcement By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management Pvt. Ltd
Below Quote On CPI data By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Managing Director – Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited “In June, India experienced a surge in retail inflation, with the CPI rising to 4.81%, breaking a four-month trend of decline following May's rate of 4.31%. The primary driver behind this inflationary spike can be attributed to an increase in food prices. Notably, the provisional figure of 4.88% exceeded the market expectation of 4.60% as per th...
Reaction Quote On CPI Data : Mr. Raghvendra Nath,Ladderup Wealth Management Pvt. Ltd
Below Quote On CPI data By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Managing Director – Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited “India's consumer price index (CPI) eased sharply to 4.25% in May, hitting a 25-month low, helped by a softer rise in food prices and a favourable base effect. It has come under the Reserve Bank of India's upper tolerance limit of 6% for the third month in a row. This month's CPI declined from 4.7% recorded in April 2023 and 7.04% in the year-ago ...
Reaction on CPI data: The consumer food price index eased to 2.91% in May from 3.84% in April Says Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management Private
Below is RBI MPC announcement reaction By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Managing Director – Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited “On expected lines, RBI continued with its decision to not hike rates further as the inflation stays within range. The RBI has forecast the inflation for FY24 at 5.1%, inching towards the upper limit, however in the near-term inflation outlook looks more favourable. The progress of monsoon would be keenly watched and would be one of the si...
On expected lines, RBI continued with its decision to not hike rates further as the inflation Says Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management
Below Quote on today’s GDP data announcement By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Managing Director – Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited “India’s GDP growth for FY23 came in at 7.2% vs 9.1% in FY22, better than the market expectations and RBI’s estimate of 7%. Among the major world economies, India is growing at one of the fastest rates. Real GDP for FY22-23 at constant prices is estimated to be around ? 160.06 lakh crore. Per Capita GDP of Ind...
India`s GDP growth for FY23 came in at 7.2% vs 9.1% in FY22 Says Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management Private
Below View on WPI data By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Managing Director – Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited “WPI inflation is down to -0.92% in April 2023 from 1.34% in March 2023. This is the first time the WPI has slipped into negative territory since July 2020. The fall in WPI inflation can be attributed to fall in prices of basic metals, food products, mineral oils, textiles, non-food articles, chemical and chemical products, rubber and rubber products and paper and paper...
WPI inflation is down to -0.92% in April 2023 from 1.34% in March 2023 Says Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management
Below Perspective on CPI data By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Managing Director – Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited CPI inflation eases to 5.66% in March 2023 from 6.44% in February 2023 and 6.95% in March 2022. It is now below 6% the upper end of the target range set by RBI. The primary reason for the ease in inflation was higher base of last year. Rural inflation eased to 5.51% from 6.72% in Feb, whereas Urban inflation also eased but at a slower pace to 5.89% in March. ...
CPI inflation eases to 5.66% in March 2023 from 6.44% in February 2023 Says Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management
Below View on WPI data By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Managing Director – Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited “WPI inflation eases to 3.85% in February from 4.73% in January and 4.95% in December. It has now stayed below 5% for the 3rd consecutive month. The easing of inflation was primarily due to fall in prices of crude petroleum & natural gas, non-food articles, food products etc. Inflation in primary articles was down to 3.28% from 3.88% in January, Fuel & powe...
WPI inflation eases to 3.85% in February from 4.73% in January Says Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management
Below Reaction on CPI data By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Managing Director – Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited “CPI breached the upper tolerance band of RBI again at 6.52% higher than the market expectations of 6.1%. Costly food items and rise in oil prices pushed the inflation upwards. India’s dependence on oil imports continues to affect India’s inflation. We may see further rate hikes from RBI if the inflation figures continue to stay above the upper band. Thi...
CPI breached the upper tolerance band of RBI again at 6.52% higher than the market expectations Says Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management
Below is RBI MPC announcement reaction By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Managing Director – Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited “RBI on expected lines hiked the policy rate by 25 bps to take repo rate to 6.5%. RBI will follow major global central banks while deciding on monetary tightening unless it results in a significant slowdown. Inflation has been in a downward trajectory over last couple of months and the same is also reflected in RBI forecast for FY24 at 5.4% which is...
Inflation has been in a downward trajectory over last couple of months Says Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management
Below is Post Budget Reaction From Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Managing Director – Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited “Like the last couple of years, the finance minister has rightly changed the budget exercise into a Vision exercise, where it lays down the Vision of the government for the next few years and make sure that all the facets of the economy are taken care of. Today the finance minister announced initiatives like green energy, inclusive development, reachi...
Post Budget Reaction : Government has shown fiscal prudence in bringing down the fiscal deficit Says Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management
Below Perspective On Pre Budget Expectations By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Managing Director – Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited Given that this is the last full year budget before election, we do not anticipate any significant changes from the government's prior policy. Therefore, the government will focus on maintaining the budget deficit and may introduce new programs related to social welfare & infrastructure. We hope that the government does not tinker with the ...
Pre Budget Expectations : The government will focus on maintaining the budget deficit Says Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management
Below Perspective On WPI data By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Managing Director – Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited WPI inflation eases to 4.95% in December from 5.85% in November and 8.67% in October. It went below 5% for the first time since Feb 2021. The easing of inflation was primarily due to fall in prices of food articles, mineral oils, textile & chemical products. Inflation in primary articles was down to 2.38% from 5.52% in November, Fuel &am...
Perspective on WPI data By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management Private
Below is Perspective on IIP & CPI data Announcement By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Managing Director - Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited “While the CPI at 5.88% has beaten market expectations by being lower than forecast, the decline in IIP is a bigger cause for concern as it could indicate poor demand offtake leading to slower GDP growth in the coming quarters. We should observe the trend of both CPI and IIP over the next few months to get cl...
We should observe the trend of both CPI and IIP over the next few months to get clear signals Says Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management Pvt. Ltd
Below is Perspective on RBI MPC Announcement By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Managing Director - Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited “With the RBI's announcement of the fifth consecutive rate increase, loan rates will increase even further. The repo rate was increased by 35 bps, bringing it to 6.25%. The announcement matched what the market anticipated. Despite a reduction in the GDP growth prediction for India from 7% to 6.8%, the growth prospects remain stron...
The announcement matched what the market anticipated Says Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management Private
Below is Perspective on WPI data By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Managing Director - Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited The WPI like CPI still remains at elevated levels even though it has come down a bit from last month. The easing of inflation has primarily been on account of easing commodity prices globally. There is a good likelihood that global commodities may correct even further as the developed world faces the risk of recession which in turn would mean reduced demand...
Perspective on WPI data By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited
Below is Perspective on RBI MPC Announcement By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Managing Director - Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited “The general consensus on the street was a 50-bps rate hike and RBI came through with it. The ripples from the global disruptions will act as headwinds to the economic growth in India which is indicative from the announcement of a contraction in the expected GDP number. Indian markets had already factored in the rate hike hence the ma...
Quote on Monetary Policy By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited
Below is Perspective on WPI data By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Managing Director - Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited “India’s Wholesale price index (WPI) has eased to 12.41 percent in August, compared to the spike we had seen July at 13.93 per cent. The food price segment continues to remain high at 12.37 per cent in August which can be attributed majorly to rise in vegetable prices. Thus, even though there is uptick in the prices of food items this ease WPI i...
Perspective on WPI data By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited
Below is Perspective on IIP and CPI Data By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Managing Director - Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited “For the month of August, the consumer price index (CPI) surged to 7% as against 6.71% in July. Though in the past three months retail inflation was on a downtrend, this month data has marginally increased majorly due to increase in food prices. Nearly half of the CPI basket is accounted by food inflation which includes daily essentials like w...
Perspective on IIP and CPI Data By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited
Below is Perspective on Q1 FY23 GDP Data By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Managing Director - Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited “This is in line with market expectations which was in the range of 13% to 16.5 %. This quarter witnessed better economic recovery despite global uncertainties and high inflation. Indian stock market should take this number in a positive note. However, higher interest rates can hit economic activities in the next few quarters which may...
Perspective on Q1 FY23 GDP Data By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited
Below is Perspective on RBI MPC Announcement By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Managing Director - Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited “As indicated by RBI in the MPC, the GDP growth is likely to remain intact and they do not expect any major changes in the GDP estimates going forward. However, considering RBI's expectation of a higher inflation in the next 2-3 quarters, 50 bps hike seems to be a decision in the right direction. RBI has moved away from its accomm...
Perspective on RBI MPC Announcement By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited
Below is Perspective the CPI inflation data By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Managing Director - Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited “Inflation was going to stay outside RBI’s comfort zone as food and other commodity prices have continued to stay up. The reason behind inflation coming down to 7.04% from 7.79% m-o-m, was just due to a favourable base effect and the recent excise cuts on petrol. While a normal monsoon is expected this season, we may see some easing i...
Perspective on the CPI inflation data By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited
Below is Perspective on RBI MPC Announcement By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Managing Director - Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited The inflation has been above the RBI's target range of 2-6% since the beginning of the year. With the ongoing Ukraine war and the COVID issues in China, the supply chain disruptions continue to affect global inflation. So, a rate hike of 30-50bps was expected by the RBI. The RBI has revised the inflation for FY23 to 6.7%, so inflation w...
Perspective on RBI MPC Announcement By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited
Below is Perspective on Q4 GDP Data By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, MD, Ladderup Wealth Management “FY22 Q4 GDP figures were expected to fall to below 4% but have managed to stay at 4.1%. The fall in GDP figures was expected especially due to the slowdown in the rural economy as higher input costs weigh on agricultural outputs. Supply chain disruptions continued to affect our economy. The FY22 GDP figure of 8.7% was in line with the estimates. The high growth figure is mainly ...
Perspective on Q4 GDP Data By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management
Below is Perspective on today's RBI's decision to raise the inflation rate by 40 bps by Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Managing Director – Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited. “RBI’s change in view from an accommodative stance in Feb’22 to a hawkish statement couple of weeks back and sudden rate hike today has taken the market by surprise. Somewhere it makes us wonder whether RBI knows more than they are letting on in their statement. This surprise mo...
Perspective on today's RBI's decision to raise the inflation rate 40 bps by Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management Private Ltd
Below is Perspective on WPI data By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, MD, Ladderup Wealth Management “WPI worsened further to 14.55% in March, being the 12th straight month where the inflation has stayed in double digits. This was the highest month on month WPI increase experienced by the economy since the WPI series began in 2004. The margins of companies across sectors may further face headwinds for at least next 2 quarters, owing to the Russia-Ukraine war as it continues to affect co...
Perspective on WPI data By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management
Below is Perspective on RBI MPC Announcement By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Managing Director - Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited “Lower growth forecast, raising inflation forecast and a spike in commodity prices due to the on-going geopolitical unrest, does not come as a surprise. In order to maintain current growth environment, RBI has continued with an accommodative stance. However, with a caveat, that it might withdraw its accommodative stance to ensure infl...
Perspective on RBI MPC Announcement By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited
Below is Perspective on CPI data February 2022 By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, MD, Ladderup Wealth Management “CPI once again breached the RBI’s upper tolerance limit of 6%. With global commodity prices rising due to geopolitical tensions and the constant increase in wholesale inflation over the past few months, it was expected that inflation would be passed on to the end consumer. With the crude oil prices breaching $100, and fuel price hike due after elections, in...
Below is Perspective on CPI data February 2022 By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management
Below is Perspective on Q3 GDP data By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, MD, Ladderup Wealth Management “The GDP figure for the third quarter was reported at 5.4%. The major reason behind the fall in the GDP figures for this quarter was the upwards GDP revision of the base year. But as India recovers from the third wave, with a lot of sectors returning to the pre-pandemic levels, hopefully the fourth quarter will see a better number than what we have witnessed in the last quarter. The ...
Perspective on Q3 GDP data By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management
Below the perspective on RBI MPC announcement By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Managing Director – Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited. “The announcements were in line with our expectations. Post growth-oriented budget announcement it was necessary to maintain a conducive environment that would support the growth. Our economy is still at a stage where a lot of our industries are inching back to normalcy from the pandemic and any rate hikes at this stage could have hindered w...
Perspective on RBI MPC announcement By Mr. Raghvendra Nath , Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited
Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Managing Director – Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited “The Budget has rightly focused on the broad agenda for Economic growth rather than unnecessarily tinkering with the structures. The fiscal deficit of 6.9 percent in the revised estimate for the current FY is a tad higher than what was expected but considering that the last twelve months have been extremely challenging for the economy, it is not a big negative. The projected fiscal deficit of 6....
Union Budget 2022-23 had special emphasis on Financial Inclusion, technology adoption and entrepreneurship - Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management
Pre-Budget expectations Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Managing Director – Ladderup Wealth Management Private Limited Over the years we have seen that most Central Governments maintain a good balance between social and economic objectives during the budget. So, I don’t expect this year will be any different. In the last two budgets we have seen that the government is actively listening to the industry experts and addressing the gaps in policy and taxation. This budget should i...
Central Governments maintain a good balance between social and economic objectives during the budget - Ladderup Wealth Management Private Ltd
Below is Perspective on GDP data By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, MD, Ladderup Wealth Management The Q2 GDP growth data at 8.4% is on expected lines. The nominal GDP however grew at 17.5%, mainly due to the high commodity prices. We are running a risk of higher CPI inflation in the coming quarters. The positive news is that India has staged a smart recovery and the growth momentum is strong. Multiple levers in the Economy like Infra spend, Low interest rates boosting real estate sector, a...
Perspective on GDP data By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management
Below is quote on RBI Monetary Policy reaction By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, MD, Ladderup Wealth Management On expected lines, RBI has kept the policy rates unchanged and has maintained its accommodative stance. The key drivers behind the policy review announcement today have been controlled CPI inflation, which RBI expects shall moderate in the coming quarters, and the RBI’s support to the Economic recovery. The RBI continues to maintain high liquidity in the banking system...
RBI Monetary Policy reaction By Mr. Raghvendra Nath, Ladderup Wealth Management
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