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Investors are awaiting the upcoming MPC meeting, where the RBI is expected to maintain its policy rates at 6.5 per cent, says Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Financial services. The week began on a positive note, with hopes of an end to the policy tightening era due to cooling inflation worldwide. However, negative news about the US rating downgrade, weak factory activity data from the Eurozone and China, and prolonged FII selling triggered by rising US bond yields caused widespread...
Investors await RBI monetary policy in the coming week
Below Perspective on Dr. Joseph Thomas, Head of Research, Emkay Wealth Management The equity market saw some selling coming in during the week almost around the time the news of the downgrade of the US rating by Fitch was announced. The matter was more or less ignored by the markets, and some strength was visible in the US unit. The economic data due up from US, Europe and China, and the policy announcements due very soon would determine the trajectory of markets in the co...
Perspective on Market By Dr. Joseph Thomas, Emkay Wealth Management
Emkay Wealth Management, the wealth management and advisory arm of Emkay Global Financial Services has released a note on the fixed-income market. The note advises fixed income investors to consider short and medium-term investment grade bonds with yields above 8% in the current market environment. Additionally, there are longer-duration credit products offered by mutual funds and non-mutual fund entities, providing higher effective returns over the life of the products. However, any exposure...
Fixed-income investors should consider short and medium-term investment- grade bonds: Emkay Wealth Management
Emkay Wealth Management, the wealth management and advisory arm of Emkay Global Financial Services have released a note on gold, price outlook, and the reason for the rally in the precious metal prices given the current setup. The note states, the development in the US economy as the key factor providing further cues for the yellow metal. Currently, $1930 and $1960 are the support level and on the upper end there is a high probability of gold prices testing the $2020 level and breaking throug...
Economic developments in the US economy to provide further cues for gold: Emkay Wealth Management
Below Perspective on Dr. Joseph Thomas, Head of Research, Emkay Wealth Management ”The equity markets trended higher during the week and made a series of fresh closing all time highs. The continued inflow of FII money and improved sentiments led to buoyancy in domestic equity markets. The healthy results in the ongoing earnings season, value unlocking through HDFC-HDFC Bank merger & Reliance demerger, expectations of inflation peaking out globally and indications...
Perspective on Market By Dr. Joseph Thomas, Emkay Wealth Management
Weak global cues and profit booking in domestic equities dragged the key indices down on Friday. Nifty opened lower and remained in negative territory throughout the session to close near the day’s low with a loss of 166 points (-0.8 per cent) at 19,332 levels. Siddhartha Khemka, Head-Retail Research, Motilal Oswal Financial Services, said the broader market too ended in red with the Nifty mid-cap 100 down by 0.8 per cent while the Nifty small-cap 100 was down 0.4 per cent. Except...
Markets succumb to profit booking at higher levels
Below The Market Perspective On Dr. Joseph Thomas, Head of Research, Emkay Wealth Management on the markets. “The markets after a big leap in the last few weeks has turned a bit weary of the heights and moved lower by end of the week. The data points emerging from the US giving stronger indications of a likely rate action from the Fed in its next meeting led to a slump in the overseas markets yesterday. There is a narrative that is emerging that inflation might be more...
Market perspective by Dr. Joseph Thomas, Emkay Wealth Management
Emkay Wealth Management, the wealth management and advisory arm of Emkay Global Financial Services has released a note on equities and the likely factors that are driving the course going forward. The equity indexes have moved up in the aftermath of the pause in the rate hikes by the RBI and the US Fed. The pause has brought about some clarity with regard to the fund flows into the Indian markets. Not surprisingly the foreign investors have also come back into the markets in a regular and con...
Pause on rates has given a new direction to the equity markets: Emkay Wealth Management
Below Perspective on Dr. Joseph Thomas, Head of Research, Emkay Wealth Management “India inflation and IIP data improved the market sentiments; the CPI based inflation eased and IIP strengthened. The US inflation too eased and supported the market expectations of a pause from US Fed in its upcoming policy meet. The improvement in macroeconomic data should be supportive of risk assets over the near term and the momentum may continue.” Above views ar...
Perspective on Market By Dr. Joseph Thomas, Emkay Wealth Management
Mumbai: Emkay Wealth Management, the wealth management and advisory arm of Emkay Global Financial Services has released a note on Brent crude price trajectory, the factors that will be at play in the near future. Oil prices have been range bound for most parts of CY23. In fact, crude started the year trading in the range of 80-85 levels. It has cooled off from that level despite OPEC announcing a cut in the output earlier this month. US & China will show the way The fall in oil...
Brent crude price trajectory linked to US rate action and developments in China: Emkay Wealth Management
Mumbai: Gold prices have seen support due to the current economic data in the US. The yellow metal now has support levels at 1970 and 1990 as the US Dollar softened post the latest job data. The latest data set has led to a belief that the US Fed will take a pause and hold interest rates at current levels. The treasury yields too have softened from the high levels seen in the month of March. Fed action key to gold price movement While the Fed Chairman indirectly hinted at...
Gold price rallying on hopes of a pause by the US Fed: Emkay Wealth Management
Below Perspective on Dr. Joseph Thomas, Head of Research, Emkay Wealth Management " The equity market has been holding quite well buoyed by the better than expected national income data, encouraging manufacturing PMI, and finally, a closure to the US debt ceiling discussions. The positive sentiment created by these events may linger on for some more time. However, in the immediate term one should be cognizant of the high probability for exports to slowdown with almost...
Perspective on Market By Dr. Joseph Thomas, Emkay Wealth Management
Foreign portfolio investors (FPI) invested Rs 43,838 crore in the Indian stock markets in May. V.K. Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Financial Services, said the FPIs were aggressive buyers in the market in May having invested Rs 43,838 crore through the stock market and primary market put together. A survey among foreign portfolio investors showed that India is now the consensus overweight among all emerging markets. In May, India attracted the largest investment amon...
FPIs invest Rs 43,838 crore in India in May
Below the perspective of Dr. Joseph Thomas, Head of Research, Emkay Wealth Management “ The markets remained quite bullish , more or less insulated from developments elsewhere. The uptick seen during the week was across market caps and sectors. The prolonged negotiations in the US on the budget ceiling is being looked at with some amount of consternation as the consequences may be devastating if an agreement is not reached. But the probability of an agreement being hammere...
Perspective on Market By Dr. Joseph Thomas, Emkay Wealth Management
Below the perspective of Dr. Joseph Thomas, Head of Research, Emkay Wealth Management The markets trended lower during the week gone by, as IT sector witnessed a drag owing to a weak set of numbers being declared by one of the majors. The concerns regarding global economic outlook too impacted the sentiments; a strong growth reported by China failed to meaningfully influence the bulls. Over the near term the markets may be expected to be volatile, led by very stock specific movements ...
Perspective on Market By Dr. Joseph Thomas, Emkay Wealth Management
Emkay Wealth Management, the wealth management and advisory arm of Emkay Global Financial Services has released a note on Brent crude, price outlook, and the reason for the rally in the crude oil prices. The note suggests the sudden decision of OPEC+ to cut the oil output led to a rise in crude prices. Crude oil prices rallied to scale a 2-month high post the outcome of the OPEC+ meet. A surprise cut by OPEC+ pushed oil prices up Earlier this month, OPEC+ which is a group of oil-produci...
Strong economic data in China could push Brent prices to levels of $90/bbl: Emkay Wealth Management
Below the perspective of Dr. Joseph Thomas, Head of Research, Emkay Wealth Management ”The markets trended lower during the week gone by, as IT sector witnessed a drag owing to a weak set of numbers being declared by one of the majors. The concerns regarding global economic outlook too impacted the sentiments; a strong growth reported by China failed to meaningfully influence the bulls. Over the near term the markets may be expected to be volatile, led by very stock specific mov...
Perspective on Market By Dr. Joseph Thomas, Emkay Wealth Management
High probability of gold scaling levels of $2080/oz Emkay Wealth Management, the wealth management and advisory arm of Emkay Global Financial Services have released a note on gold, price outlook, and the reason for the rally in the precious metal prices given the current setup. The note suggest, there is a high probability of gold prices testing the $2020 level and breaking through it. The levels 1930 and 1960 are strong support levels for gold...
Rally in gold prices largely due to softness in the USD : Emkay Wealth Private Limited
Below the perspective of Dr. Joseph Thomas, Head of Research, Emkay Wealth Management “The improving sentiments in the developed markets, especially USA, was reflected on the domestic equity markets. The rising expectations of a contained banking crisis without any contagion, coupled with higher jobless claims led to markets betting on Fed going slow on the rate hikes front. The markets seem to be discounting some of the positives, the market movement going ahead may be more dat...
Perspective on Market By Dr. Joseph Thomas, Emkay Wealth Management
Below is Perspective on Market by Dr. Joseph Thomas, Head of Research, Emkay Wealth Management. The equity markets closed the week on a positive note leaving an extremely volatile week behind us, and well above the strong support levels at 16800 on the Nifty. The weakness in the markets was amplified by the news about one or two fairly large US local bank failures, and the speculations about the likelihood of large-scale bank failures in future. The problem highlig...
Perspective on Market By Dr. Joseph Thomas, Emkay Wealth Management
Below is Perspective on Market by Dr. Joseph Thomas, Head of Research, Emkay Wealth Management. The weakness displayed by the equity market during the course of the current week was generated by the recent developments abroad, and it reaffirms the close alignment of the local market with other major markets abroad. The statement from the Fed Chairman that the Fed would be prepared for an acceleration of the pace of rate hikes, if required, to enable it to contain infla...
Perspective on Market By Dr. Joseph Thomas, Emkay Wealth Management
Below is Perspective on Market by Dr. Joseph Thomas, Head of Research, Emkay Wealth Management. ““The downslide in the equity market persisted throughout the last week of trading, influenced by internal as well as external developments. The major factor that has been causing a bend in the river is the avalanche of economic data, mostly from the US, that carried hints that the economy might be stronger that one thinks, inviting an inference that there could be fur...
Perspective on Market By Dr. Joseph Thomas, Emkay Wealth Management
Mumbai : Emkay Wealth Management Global Financial Services has released a note on the Indian technology funds, the investment opportunity, scale, and the fundamentals of the tech companies. The research house expects the Indian IT companies to do well basis their experience over the past two decades in handling disruption, changing geographical presence, currency gains, attractive valuation, economic recovery in the west, and relatively unchanged tech spending. Emkay Wealth Management ex...
Expect digital revenues for the IT companies to grow in the range of 25-30%: Emkay Wealth Management
Near-term headwinds offer investors an opportunity to accumulate Investors should invest in a gradual manner with a minimum horizon of 3 years Indian IT is a structurally resilient and a long-term growth-oriented sector Emkay Wealth Management Global Financial Services has released a note on the Indian technology funds, the investment opportunity, scale, and the fundamentals of the tech companies. The research house expects the Indian IT companies to do well basis their experience ov...
Expect digital revenues for the IT companies to grow in the range of 25-30%: Emkay Wealth Management
Below is Perspective on Market by Dr. Joseph Thomas, Head of Research, Emkay Wealth Management. “The equity market continues to test support levels influenced by the developments abroad, mainly the US and inordinately led by data points on inflation. The persistence of inflation points to a status quo on the policy stance, and this is affecting markets due to an assessment of growth prospects which is not entirely favourable. The very same factors are likely to guide t...
Perspective on Market By Dr. Joseph Thomas, Emkay Wealth Management
Emkay Wealth Management, the wealth management and advisory arm of Emkay Global Financial Services have released a note on gold, price outlook, and the reason for the rally in the precious metal prices given the current setup. The note suggest, the prices for the yellow metal are poised to open a new chapter. The levels 1860 and 1830 are strong support levels. A new chapter for Gold Gold has posted double digit gains in 2022. The yellow metal has already posted over 3% gains in the mont...
Gold poised to moved higher from current levels: Emkay Wealth Private Limited
The banking system credit growth rate indicates a healthy credit demand India equities trading at a premium vs other markets both developed and EMs Premiums of Indian equities may moderate Indian equities in a consolidation phase As per a report by Emkay Wealth Management titled ‘Navigator’, Indian equities have traded lower in the last month mainly due to external factors, especially the US interest rate policy. The Indian equity market is in a consolidation phase cur...
Should invest in Banking, Tech & Manufacturing
Below is Perspective on Market by Dr. Joseph Thomas, Head of Research, Emkay Wealth Management. “The equity markets witnessed an extremely high level of volatility all through the week, on account of external as well as domestic developments. The outcomes of the policy meet of the Fed as well as ECB, and also the selloff in the shares of a major business group added to the selling pressure. The Union Budget which had an overwhelming focus on long term development...
Perspective on Market By Dr. Joseph Thomas, Emkay Wealth Management
Weak economic data will soften USD further The trajectory of INR and the revival of inflows from overseas investors will be intertwined Emkay Wealth Management, the wealth management and advisory arm of Emkay Global Financial Services have released a note on the dollar index, outlook, and the reason that may affect the course in the near to mid-term for DXY. Currency markets reflect the waning Dollar surge The currency markets reflect the continued weakness of the US Dollar. The f...
Currency markets reflect the waning Dollar surge - Emkay Wealth Management
Below is Perspective on Market by Dr. Joseph Thomas, Head of Research, Emkay Wealth Management. “The equity market continued to trade lower in sync with developments abroad, mainly the US markets. While the probability of the Fed hiking rates further to slay the demon of inflation is quite high, the consequences of the rate action over a period of time translating itself into an economic slowdown is occupying the minds of the investors. While inflation control might be...
Perspective on Market By Dr. Joseph Thomas, Emkay Wealth Management
Brent well supported at current levels Fears of a global recession in 2023 remain a risk to prices Weakness in USD is supporting crude, other commodities Emkay Wealth Management, the wealth management and advisory arm of Emkay Global Financial Services have released a note on crude oil, price outlook, and the reason for the possible rally in the commodity despite the current setup. The note says that China opening up its market for regular economic activities will help boost deman...
China opening up post-lockdown could boost demand & price for crude
Mumbai: Emkay Wealth Management, the wealth management and advisory arm of Emkay Global Financial Services have released a note on gold, price outlook, and the reason for the rally in the precious metal prices given the current setup. Gold has been trading in a range of $1800–1880 in the last 1 month. The cues from the US Fed on likely slowdown in rate tightening has helped gold prices rally from levels of $1680-1730 to $1850-1880 currently. In India, the prices are trading near...
A slowdown in the pace of rate hike by Fed will boost Gold prices By Emkay Wealth Management
Below Perspective on the markets by Dr. Joseph Thomas, Head of Research, Emkay Wealth Management “The equity markets remained volatile throughout the trading session today, the last trading day of the calendar year. While metals, real estate and PSU Bank indexes were marginally higher, the power , banking and FMCG indexes traded lower. The Fed policy, the consequences that it may have for global growth and the reports emanating from China have been factors that are of cons...
The markets may continue to remain volatile and may trade with a downside bias Says Dr. Joseph Thomas, Emkay Wealth Management
Below Perspective on the markets by Dr. Joseph Thomas, Head of Research, Emkay Wealth Management “The equity market traded lower again mainly on account of the overarching influence of negative factors and news from overseas. Some of the recent macro numbers show the US economy still staying in relatively good health, but the news from China and Japan are not encouraging due to the larger number of covid cases reported from several countries , and the impact of the same on globa...
The equity market traded lower again mainly on account of the overarching influence of negative factors Says Dr. Joseph Thomas, Emkay Wealth Management
Emkay Wealth Management, the wealth management and advisory arm of Emkay Global Financial Services have released a note on gold, price outlook, and the reason for the rally in the precious metal prices given the current setup. After trading in a narrow range, the gold prices have gained ground in the past 2-3 weeks. Gold prices are trading at a 4-month high, it has managed to cross the $1800/oz level. Gold prices broke above the 1720 level after creating a base around the 1630-16...
Fed`s rate hike trajectory lifts gold prices: Emkay Wealth Management
Below Perspective on the markets by Dr. Joseph Thomas, Head of Research, Emkay Wealth Management “The equity indexes closed in the red after a day of volatile trading. The PSU Banks and Realty traded higher defying the trend for the day. What that markets would look forward to would be the developments Europe and the statements from leading Fed officials on the future stance of the Fed. Though price pressures have ebbed, the retail inflation numbers are too high for the co...
Perspective on the markets By Dr. Joseph Thomas, Emkay Wealth Management
Below Perspective On Markets By Dr. Joseph Thomas, Head of Research, Emkay Wealth Management “The equity market closed marginally higher after a week of relatively lower level of volatility. The hike in rates from Fed and the ECB and the Fed’s assertion that the hard money policy would continue into the next year as well triggered discussions on the likely decline in the rate of growth which could spell trouble for the current calculations on business growth and earnings....
The equity market closed marginally higher after a week of relatively lower level of volatility Says Dr. Joseph Thomas,Emkay Wealth Management
Below is Perspective on Market by Dr. Joseph Thomas, Head of Research, Emkay Wealth Management. “ The domestic equity market moved very much in tandem with the movements in the global markets, especially the US markets. The rise in the Dollar Index, and the fall in the Japanese Yen , and the exit of the ruling Tory government were some of the developments which were of some import for the markets. The Rupee declined beyond the Rs.83 level against the US Dollar but the ...
Perspective on markets by Dr. Joseph Thomas, Head of Research, Emkay Wealth Management
Mumbai : Emkay Wealth Management, the wealth management and advisory arm of Emkay Global Financial Services has released a note on crude oil, price outlook, and the reason hindering the rally in the commodity despite the current setup. Brent prices supported by supply constraints The crude oil prices have been trading in the range of $65-120/bbl in the past 1 year. The prices are way off the high levels witnessed in the month of June 2022. Brent crude is currently at around US$ 92 per ...
Crude may retest higher levels in coming week By Emkay Wealth Management Limited
Dollar strengthening, rate hike to limit rally in gold prices Weakness in gold to continue till clarity on global eco growth, rate hikes Gold remains lackluster despite high inflation & uncertainties worldwide Mumbai : Emkay Wealth Management, the wealth management and advisory arm of Emkay Global Financial Services have released a note on gold, price outlook, and the reason hindering the rally in the precious metal prices despite the current setup. Historically gold has been consid...
Gold likely to trade range-bound in short-term: Emkay Wealth Management
Below View on Market commentary 08 October 2022 By Dr. Joseph Thomas, Head of Research, Emkay Wealth Management “The domestic equity markets remained volatile throughout the week mainly in response to global developments. The likelihood of further aggressive tightening by the Fed and the other central banks, the continuing depreciation of emerging market currencies, the potential for an economic slowdown in the global economy etc. have been the major factors that have influ...
Quote on Market: The domestic equity markets remained volatile throughout the week Says Dr. Joseph Thomas, Emkay Wealth Management
Rising interest rates are likely to bring Fixed Income, Debt Funds back into focus Diversification is core but Indian Manufacturing can be a good bet Aspiring to reach Rs 10,000 crore AUM in the next 3-5 years Mumbai : Emkay Wealth Management, the wealth management and advisory arm of Emkay Global Financial Services held a media webinar ‘Mediascape Q2’ today – a discussion on the importance of asset allocation, rising opportunities in Fixed Income and Debt Funds in a risi...
Aggressive rate hikes could prove counterproductive in the short run: Emkay Wealth Management
Below Market commentary by Dr. Joseph Thomas, Head of Research, Emkay Wealth Management “The equity markets traded lower mainly tracking the developments in overseas markets especially the US. The Fed rate hike and the stance that rate hikes would continue till inflation is contained displayed in ample measure an aggressive and hawkish Fed. Even if its costs a little bit of economic growth so be it, has been the stated approach. This time around the Fed policy comes with a proj...
Quote on Market By Dr. Joseph Thomas, Emkay Wealth Management
Joseph Thomas, Head of Research, Emkay Wealth Management, said that the higher than expected inflation print has led 10-year government securities yield firming up and the liquidity condition has pushed the yields at the shorter end higher. Over the near term we expect the yields to be volatile with an upward bias, he says, adding that the near-term range for 10-year government securities may be 7.15 per cent to 7.40 per cent. Q. Indian bond yields has fallen in past few weeks, ...
government securities may trade in 7.15-7.40% range in near term: Joseph Thomas
The dollar index, which gauges the strength of greenback against the basket of six major currencies, is expected to remain in the range of 112.60-113.30, if the US Federal Reserve continues its tightening going forward, according to a report by Emkay Wealth Management. "Given the resolution of the Fed to enhance the rates to contain inflation the likelihood of the index moving up to 112.60 -113.30 levels cannot be ruled out," the report said. The US is aggressively tightening ...
Fed hiking rates may move dollar index to levels of 112.60 -113.30: Emkay Wealth
Mumbai: As per a report by Emkay Wealth Management titled ‘Navigator’, the prices of yellow metal could be under pressure in the near term. Gold prices are currently trading in the range of $1720-1740, and are expected to break the $1700 in the short term. This is a crucial support level for the yellow metal. The probability of gold testing the level of $1680-1630 level is high indicating further pressure on the precious metal. The last time the price of Gold was at this l...
Gold could break the crucial $1700 level in the short-term: Emkay Wealth Management
Below is Perspective on Market by Dr. Joseph Thomas, Head of Research, Emkay Wealth Management. “The equity indexes recovered significantly due to aggressive buying that emerged against the sharp fall in the markets the previous day. The fact that growth in India would be still relatively higher, and that inflation may gradually moderate over time, have infused greater confidence in the minds of the market participants. Despite all this the trajectory of the markets wo...
Perspective on Market By Dr. Joseph Thomas, Emkay Wealth Management
Below is Perspective on Market by Dr. Joseph Thomas, Head of Research, Emkay Wealth Management. “Some moderation in the inflation rate in the US as well as in India generated expectations of a likely moderation in central bank polices as well. The Dollar Index too moved down towards the 104.50 level, sustaining the impression that rates could be lower. But the subsequent data points, as well as fact that level of inflation was too high, that rate hikes would be require...
Perspective on Market By Dr. Joseph Thomas, Emkay Wealth Management
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