2025-03-14 03:07:34 pm | Source: Geojit Financial Services Ltd
Weekly market outlook : Global Trade War Pressures Markets, Domestic Factors Offer Relief says Vinod Nair, Head of Research, Geojit Financial Services
Below the Quote on weekly market outlook from Vinod Nair, Head of Research, Geojit Financial Services
"The escalating global trade war has weighed heavily on market sentiments worldwide, creating uncertainty and causing indices to trade within a narrow range. However, domestic factors have provided some relief. The resilient Indian economy is showing positive signs of recovery, driven by a moderation in inflation and improvements in economic fundamentals. Retail inflation in India eased more than anticipated, raising hopes for interest rate cuts. Additionally, industrial output in January exceeded expectations, lifting market sentiment and preventing further declines. This recovery is supported by increased government spending and rising consumer incomes in FY26.
Persistent uncertainties surrounding global trade and the fear of a U.S. recession may continue to influence the domestic market's momentum. However, the moderation in valuations following recent corrections, along with supportive factors such as falling crude oil prices, an easing Dollar Index, and expectations of a rebound in domestic earnings in the coming quarters, may limit the volatility and is expected to contribute to a stability amid prevailing trade uncertainties. Looking ahead, next week's release of China's retail sales growth data and industrial production data will provide a clearer understanding of the Chinese economic growth outlook. Investors will also be closely monitoring US retail sales and production numbers."
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