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Nifty

On the daily scale yesterday’s candlestick price pattern exhibits a perfect ‘Dragonfly Doji’ which has occurred with an ‘Exhaustion gap’. The development is an early indication of a probable reversal in place awaiting a confirmatory close above 19605 from hereon. The index did display a smart recovery to establish a close above its 78.6% retracement support near 19440. 19600-19440 remains an immediate demand zone with reference of its prior impulse wave from the base at 19220 to 20222. Both its trend strength indicators are still not in a conclusive zone & hence there could not be enough evidence to conclude a likely upward shift in support base yet. With the ongoing gap sequence been complete with yesterday’s final gap it is advised to cover short positions & await a reversal sign for deployment of longs. The hurdle has now shifted lower at 19740 with major resistance at 20000 for the coming weeks ahead. Leverage longs should be added once a firm reversal signal is confirmed above 196045 on closing basis until then it’s ideal to remain cautious & avoid leverage on either side.

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