2026-08-03 03:21:57 pm | Source: PL Capital
Quote on Pre-MPC by Prachi Kele, Lead Economist, PL Capital
Below the Quote on Pre-MPC by Prachi Kele, Lead Economist, PL Capital
We expect MPC to adopt a cautious tone amid ongoing war-related uncertainties, while reiterating a data-dependent approach for future policy decisions. For the August meeting, we expect a status quo, with the policy rate maintained at 5.25%.
A favourable response to FCNR(B) measures, improving FPI inflows as the AI- and semiconductor-led equity rally cools amid improved kharif sowing support the thesis for a pause. Food inflation is likely to remain contained in FY27 as El Niño risks recede and monsoon conditions remain favourable, while growth risks stay broadly balanced.
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