Perspective on the Markets by Mr. Jyoti Prakash, Managing Partner. Equity and PMS at AlphaaMoney

Below the Perspective on the Markets by Mr. Jyoti Prakash, Managing Partner. Equity and PMS at AlphaaMoney
*Market Sentiment in India Weakest Globally; Fear Dominates*
India's market sentiment is currently the weakest globally. Leading Fear and Greed index suggests that Indian market is nearing "extreme fear" territory.
According to Bloomberg data, the large-cap index has declined for six consecutive weeks, falling 0.9% this week. Meanwhile, the NSE Midcap 150 and Smallcap 250 indices have dropped for three straight weeks, losing 1.2% and 1.9%, respectively, this week.
*Macroeconomic Concerns Weigh on Markets*
The market is facing headwinds from trade tariff uncertainties, diminishing hopes for additional monetary stimulus, and limited room for fiscal support.
*Earnings Provide Some Relief*
On a positive note, June-quarter results have surpassed expectations, particularly for large-cap stocks.
*Hawkish RBI Stance Dampens Sentiment*
The recent Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting struck a hawkish tone, triggering a midweek sell-off in Indian government bonds. Additionally, the Reserve Bank of India’s inflation forecast has reduced the likelihood of a near-term rate cut.
*Commodities: Gold Soars, Crude Weakens*
Gold has surged to record highs, supported by rupee depreciation and US tariff concerns. In contrast, crude oil prices remain under pressure due to rising inventories.
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