15-12-2023 11:34 AM | Source: HDFC Securities
MCX Copper Dec future broke resistance of 727 and settled above this level - HDFC Securities

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* Gold headed for a weekly gain in a market dominated by the Federal Reserve’s strongest indication yet that it will pivot to easing monetary policy next year. Furthermore, a drop in US Treasury bond yields and the dollar index bolstered bullion prices. The dollar dropped to a four-month low, while the 10-year US government bond yield has fallen below 4%, reaching its lowest level since August.

* Meanwhile, the ECB kept interest rates on hold Thursday for a second meeting with inflation tumbling but said it would step up its exit from its pandemic-era stimulus. The Bank of England also held interest rates at a 15-year high, sticking with its message that borrowing costs will remain elevated for some time despite growing bets on a wave of cuts next year.

* Crude oil was poised to eke out its first weekly gain in almost two months after dovish signals from the Federal Reserve on Wednesday unleashed a bullish pulse across markets. Copper and other base metals rose on Friday after China stepped up support for the economy.

* The People’s Bank of China injected a record amount of cash via one-year policy loans as it sought to support an economy suffering from a property market crisis and weak demand.

BULLION

Gold

Trading Strategy:

We believe Comex Gold needs to cross-resistance at $2045 and sustain above this level for the continuation of its bullish momentum; otherwise, it may retreat from this resistance. It has support at $2009/$1997 for the day. MCX gold February future has resistance at Rs 62850 and Rs 63300. It has support at Rs 62080 and Rs 61600.

 

Silver

Trading Strategy:

Comex Silver has resistance at $24.36 and $24.70. It has support at $23.75 and $23.40. The price is expected to trade in the range of 23.75 to 24.70 in the short term with a positive bias. The MCX Silver Mar future has resistance at 75600/76300 and support at 73515/72980.

 

Crude Oil

Trading Strategy:

We anticipate that crude oil is expected to trade in a broader range with a moderately positive bias. MCX Crude Oil December future has support at 5905/5850 and resistance at 6070/6180. NYMEX WTI crude has support at $71.05/$69.35 and resistance at $72.80/$74.0.

 

Natural Gas

Trading Strategy:

Natural gas closed with a modest gain in the previous session. We expect that until the price holds above the 187 level, a recovery is likely to be seen in natural gas. It has static resistance at 205.80/214.60 and support at 187/180.80. Buy natural gas at 197.80 TGT 209.0 SL 193.0.

 

Base Metal 

Copper

Trading Strategy:

MCX Copper Dec future broke resistance of 727 and settled above this level. We expect bullish momentum to continue in copper; it has the next resistance at 733.80. Above this level, the price can rally towards 737/742 levels. It has support at 721.80/717.0

Zinc

Trading Strategy:

Zinc December future is expected to trade in the range of 219.5 to 226.0 for the day. A move above the 226 level opens further up the side towards the 229.0 level. Buy Zinc December future at 222.0 TGT 226.0 and keep stop loss at 219.80.

 

Please refer disclaimer at https://www.hdfcsec.com/article/disclaimer-1795

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