India Strategy - Mar’25 (The Eagle Eye): Weakness persists amid broad-based sell-off! by Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd
The key highlights of the 'The Eagle Eye' are as follows:
* a) India experiences a falloff during the month—the weakest among peers in CY25YTD; b) MSCI China bounces back from lows; MSCI India underperforms; c) Equities have underperformed gold since the Sep’24 highs; d) Market-caps shrink; valuations dip further; e) More stocks fall sharply than reach highs, while the index turns flat YoY; f) Broad-based weakness continues with all sectoral indices reporting a decline MoM; g) 3QFY25 earnings growth remains modest across indices; h) DII inflows strong while FII selling continues; i) Monthly average cash volumes at a 15m low, while F&O volumes decline marginally; j) Current market falloff is close to the historical median; k) Nifty recoups peak-to-trough loss in ~200 days on average.
* Notable Published reports in Feb’25: a) Earnings review – A modest 3QFY25; Earnings downgrade ratio worst since 1QFY21!; b) Logistics: Anchoring solutions | Navigating success.
India experiences a falloff during the month, the weakest among peers in Feb’25/CY25YTD
Current market falloff is close to the historical median
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