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2026-10-23 11:19:32 am | Source: Emkay Global Financial Services Ltd
Buy Sagility Ltd for the Target Rs 55 by Emkay Global Financial Services Ltd
Buy Sagility Ltd for the Target Rs 55 by Emkay Global Financial Services Ltd

Sagility reported a steady operating performance in 2Q. Revenue grew 2.3% qoq, marginally below our estimate of $214mn. EBITDAM expanded by 290bps sequentially, aided by operating efficiencies, disciplined cost management, and FX tailwinds. Steady-state deal ACV grew by ~14% sequentially to $40.2mn, including a large payment integrity win with a top-10 health plan. Sagility closed the acquisition of Chirok Health (at ~2.5x EV/S and ~7x EV/adj EBITDA on TTM basis) to fill the mid-revenue cycle gap and expand the provider portfolio. Management has lowered seasonal revenue (AEP, OE) expectations by ~100bps to ~5% of revenue in FY27, though it retained low-double-digit CC organic revenue growth guidance for FY27. Chirok and CareSeed acquisitions are expected to contribute incrementally to growth. It has also raised adjusted EBITDAM guidance to 25–26% (vs 24-25% earlier), driven by the build-up in 2Q. Incorporating the Chirok acquisition and factoring in the 2Q performance, we revise our FY27 estimates by ~3% while keeping FY28/29E EPS largely unchanged. We retain BUY with an unchanged TP of Rs55, at 18x Sep-28E EPS.

Results summary

Revenue grew 2.3% qoq/12.2% yoy to $212.6mn, below our estimate of $214mn. Organic growth was 11.9% yoy in CC terms. EBITM expanded by 290bps sequentially to 18.7%, above our estimate of 17.3%. Employee headcount increased to 51,486, up 8.8% qoq and 16.5% yoy in 2Q, as the company built capacity ahead of AEP and open enrollment. Voluntary attrition moderated to 25.7% from 28.6% in 1Q. The company declared an interim dividend of Rs0.15 per share. What we like: Margin beat, healthy deal wins. What we do not like: Continued softness in provider revenue, lower seasonal revenue guidance.

Acquisition of Chirok to strengthen footprint in provider segment

Sagility, through its wholly owned subsidiary Sagility (US) Holdings Inc, acquired 100% of US-based Chirok Health LLC for up to ~$32.35mn in cash ($20mn upfront + up to $12.35mn contingent on specified performance milestones). This is Sagility’s first acquisition focused squarely on the provider segment and is expected to add ~15% to provider revenue and ~1.5% to overall revenue. Strategically, Chirok complements Sagility’s front-end revenue cycle capabilities (patient access) and back-end services (denials, appeals, A/R follow-up and collections) by adding mid-cycle expertise in clinical documentation and coding. The expanded end-to-end RCM capabilities are expected to strengthen Sagility’s ability to win larger deals, while enabling the extension of its Synchrony AI capabilities into the mid-cycle.

Strong ACV led by a large payment integrity deal Deal

ACV grew 18.2% yoy to $40.2mn, driven by wins from 31 existing clients and one new logo. Key wins included a large payment integrity engagement with a top-10 health plan covering over 10mn members, with minimum ACV potential exceeding $10mn and potential to scale significantly higher. Given the contingency-based nature of payment integrity contracts, revenue is expected to ramp up gradually based on recoveries.

 

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