Buy Cocudakl Dec @ 2920 SL 2880 TGT 2970-3020. NCDEX - Kedia Advisory
CottonCandy
Cotton Candy prices declined by -0.26% to settle at Rs. 56,850, amid moderate demand and weak export activity, particularly to Bangladesh. The USDA has lowered India’s cotton production forecast for the 2024-25 season to 30.72 million bales due to crop damage from excessive rains and pest issues, with ending stocks reduced to 12.38 million bales. Cotton acreage in the current kharif season is down by around 9% to 110.49 lakh hectares compared to last year’s 121.24 lakh hectares. Despite this dip, output is expected to remain similar to the previous year, thanks to timely rains and lower pest incidence. However, damage from recent rains in Maharashtra and Gujarat has delayed the crop by a month. India’s cotton exports for the 2023-24 crop year are estimated at 28 lakh bales, up significantly from 15.5 lakh bales the previous year, driven by higher demand from countries like Bangladesh and Vietnam. Imports have also increased to 16.4 lakh bales, compared to 12.5 lakh bales last year. The Cotton Association of India (CAI) estimates closing stocks for the year at 23.32 lakh bales, down from 28.90 lakh bales in 2023. Globally, the U.S. cotton balance sheet for 2024/25 reflects lower production and exports, with ending stocks raised slightly. World cotton production is expected to rise by 200,000 bales, with increases in China, Brazil, and Argentina offsetting reductions in the U.S. and Spain. Technically, the market is under long liquidation, with open interest remaining unchanged at 131 contracts. Cotton Candy is finding support at Rs. 56,590, and a break below this level could see prices testing Rs. 56,320. Resistance is seen at Rs. 57,160, and a move above could push prices toward Rs. 57,460.
BUY COTTONCANDY NOV @ 56500 SL 56200 TGT 57000-57400. MCX
Cocudakl
BUY COCUDAKL DEC @ 2920 SL 2880 TGT 2970-3020. NCDEX
Kapas
BUY KAPAS APR @ 1570 SL 1560 TGT 1585-1595. NCDEX