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2026-07-13 09:43:59 am | Source: Emkay Global Financial Services
Add LTM Ltd for the Target 4,350 by Emkay Global Financial Services Ltd
Add LTM Ltd for the Target 4,350 by Emkay Global Financial Services Ltd

LTM logged a mixed 1Q performance. Revenue grew 0.1% qoq to $1.2bn (0.3% CC), lower than our estimate, mainly due to delayed ramp-up of a large deal in India and war-related disruptions in Middle East (ME). EBITM expanded by 40bps qoq to 15.5%, above our estimate, largely led by operational efficiency. Deal wins remained healthy, with TCV of $1.68bn (incl 2 large deals; book-tobill: ~1.4x), increasing TTM TCV to $6.7bn. AI revenue across Creative, Industrial, and Business AI reached quarterly run rate of ~$150mn (~12% of LTM revenue). Management expects growth to accelerate in 2Q and 2H, on a strong order book, healthy deal pipeline across verticals, rising AI traction, completion of productivity-linked pricing transitions with major clients, and anticipated recovery in discretionary spends. LTM expects FY27 organic growth to exceed the ~6% growth in FY26 and margin to expand during FY27. We largely retain estimates; maintain ADD and TP of Rs4,350 at 18x Jun-28E EPS.

Results summary

Revenue grew 0.1% qoq to $1,224mn (0.3% CC). Revenue performance was muted due to impact of the lower seasonal pass-through revenue, delayed ramp-up in a large deal in India, and war-related disruption in the ME. EBITM expanded by 40bps qoq to 15.5%, above our estimate of 15.3%, mainly led by operational efficiencies from the ‘New Horizon’ program (40bps) and currency gain, partly offset by wage hike. Net profit grew 5.3% qoq to Rs14.7bn, beating our estimate, driven by Rs1.9bn fair-value gain on convertible instruments held in Voicing.AI, Inc. Top-5 clients grew 4.5% qoq, while top10 clients grew 4.3% qoq, indicating stability returning across major accounts. Headcount fell 0.1% qoq to 87,886. Utilization (ex-trainees) inched up by 70bps qoq to 86.4%. What we like: Healthy deal intake. What we do not like: Revenue miss, softness in Europe and Production/Consumer verticals, weak cash conversion (56% OCF/EBITDA)

FS and Tech & Services lead growth in verticals; NA leads among geographies

Vertical reporting has been consolidated into four segments, with growth led by Financial Services (3.2% qoq CC) and Tech & Services (3.4%), partially offset by decline in Production (-5.7%) and Consumer (-0.7%). Financial Services saw rebound in sequential growth, while Technology & Services continued to show strong momentum as topaccount headwinds abate in both verticals. Production declined due to a seasonal fall in pass-through revenue. Consumer declined due to delayed ramp-ups in India and Middle East. Across geographies, North America led the growth (2.4% qoq CC), offset by a decline in Europe (-1.6%) and RoW (-9.4%).

Aspires to accelerate growth in FY27; medium-term growth outlook reiterated

The management reiterated confidence in improving growth in FY27 vs FY26 on the back of its healthy order book and broad-based deal pipeline. It restated its medium-term aspiration of doubling revenue over next 5Y, given

1) Faster expansion in Europe via the Randstad acquisition

2) Deeper penetration into APAC white spaces

3) Scaling AI-led capabilities across Enterprise AI, Industrial AI and Creative AI

4) Anticipated recovery in discretionary spending

 

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