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Expressing optimism over economic growth, Economic Advisory Council to the Prime Minister (EAC-PM) member Sanjeev Sanyal has said Indian economy will grow at around 6.5 per cent in the current fiscal (FY24) and will continue to be the fastest-growing major economy in the world, notwithstanding a modest cut in growth projections by multilateral lending agencies. He further said that given the uncertainties in the global economy, India's performance is clearly far ahead of any other comparable economy. He noted that ‘ADB (Asian Development Bank) and World Bank have only modestly reduced the (growth) forecast for this year. Even after this reduction, India will still be the fastest-growing major economy in the world’.

He said ‘It is not correct to say that we are falling behind, my own assessment is in line with what the Economic Survey published earlier this year that (India's economic) growth will be somewhere around six and a half per cent range, which is a good performance under the current circumstances’. Talking about what will take for India to grow at 8-9 per cent per annum, he said that due to the large number of reform measures taken by the Modi government, India's supply side is now capable of driving growth over 8 per cent. He highlighted ‘However, at a time when the rest of the world economy is rapidly slowing down, we will not be able to push growth too hard past the current level of six-and-a-half per cent because growth of 8 per cent type level would mean that our imports will dramatically go up at a time when our ability to push exports would be constrained by global demand’.

Therefore, Sanyal argued that from a macroeconomic stability perspective, India will have to be restrained in its expectations of what the country can do at this point of time. He said ‘However, should the world find itself in a more conducive environment which will happen eventually, then India will be easily able to accelerate its growth performance’. On the impact of the US and European banking crisis on India's financial sector, he said India's financial sector will not see any direct impact as the country has put in a lot of effort to clean up its banks and remove the non-performing assets (NPA's) using both capitalisation and the insolvency and bankruptcy process. Noting that Indian banks are well capitalised and have plenty of buffers, he said ‘Nonetheless, the fact is that we live in an interconnected world and therefore, economic shocks including financial shocks do have second-order impacts’. According to Sanyal, India needs to continue to be very vigilant.