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SPICES

Mixed moves continued in NCDEX spices complex on Monday. Barring coriander, other spices ended down in lackluster trades. Reports of lower acreage in the ongoing rabi season lifted coriander futures. Jeera futures too received support from lower acreage this season, however, absence of cues from the spot market weighed on. Turmeric futures were down on profit booking. However, firm demand lend support, limiting losses.

Exports of spices from India during Apr-Sep declined 8% on year to 780,273 tn, according to data from the Spices Board India.

Spices Board pegs Apr-Sep jeera exports at 139,295 ton, down 14%.

Spices Board pegs Apr-Sep turmeric exports at 77,245 ton, down 26%.

Spices Board pegs Apr-Sep pepper exports at 10,844 ton, up 24%.

Spices Board pegs Apr-Sep small cardamom exports 4,240 ton, up 101%.

Spices Board pegs Apr-Sep coriander exports at 24,459 ton, down 13%

According to third advanced estimates by the farm department, spices output is seen rising to 10700000 tonnes in 2020-21, up by 5.5 per cent compared to 10140000 produced in 2019-20.

According to the Gujarat State farm dept., jeera has been sown across 171459 ha as of November 29, compared to 3,02,637 ha during the same period last year. Area under coriander is down in the state as well. Coriander is sown across 86,634 ha as of November 29 compared to 93,000 ha during the same period last year.

Jeera production is seen at 856,505 ton in FY 2020-21, down 6.1% on year according to the Spices Board.

India exported 299,000 tn of jeera in 2020-21, up 40% on year according to the Spices Board.

The Spices Board has pegged coriander production at 822,210 tn, up 17.3% on year.

According to Spices Board, Coriander exports from India were up 21% on year at 57,000 ton.

Government sees 2020-21 coriander output at 720000 tons compared to 701000 tons a year ago.

Spices Board sees exports of turmeric up 33% to 183000 tonnes in FY 2020-21 on yoy basis.

Government sees 2020-21 turmeric output at 1.11 million tonnes compared to 1.15 million tons a year ago.

Spices Board pegs FY21 small cardamom export 6,500 ton, up 251% on year.

OILSEED

Except Soybean, all other commodities in the oilseed complex traded higher yesterday. Jan Soybean prices slid lower due to lower demand from crushers in the spot market. While, Jan NCDEX Refined Soy oil prices traded marginally higher due to covering rallies. But, major rise was restricted on reports of higher imports of soy oil. While, CPO MCX Dec rose mildly on improved buying at lower price levels.

The National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange will not charge transaction fees on GUAREX and SOYDEX futures contracts up to Mar 31, the bourse said in a circular. This is to encourage active participation and market development of index products.

Farmers in the country sowed the commodity across 8.2 mln ha as of Dec 10, up 23.8% on year, in the ongoing 2021-22 (JulJun) rabi season. The government fixed the minimum support price of the crop at 5,050 rupees per 100 kg for the 2022- 23 (Apr-Mar) marketing season, as against 4,650 rupees in the previous year.

In its December report, the US Department of Agriculture has estimated global soybean production in 2021-22 at 381.8 mln tn, marginally lower than 384 mln tn pegged the previous month. The decline is mainly attributed to a fall in production in China due to lower area under the oilseed, though the output in Russia and the Ukraine is seen higher. The estimate for global ending stocks for 2021-22 has been scaled down to 102.0 mln tn from 103.8 mln tn the previous month. Similarly, the estimated global soymeal output for 2021-22 has been revised marginally downwards to 257.6 mln tn from 258.5 mln tn, the report said. The estimate for global exports of soymeal has been left largely unchanged at 70.8 mln tn. In the December report, the global soyoil export estimate for 2021-22 has been increased marginally to 12.7 mln tn from 12.6 mln tn estimated the previous month. However, the global soyoil production estimate for 2021-22 has been revised downwards to 61.6 mln tn in December from 61.7 mln tn pegged the previous month. According to the report, global oilseed production in 2021-22 is seen lower at 627.6 mln tn against 628.0 mln tn pegged in November, due to a decline in soybean output in China. Global vegetable oil output in 2021-22 is now seen at nearly 215.0 mln tn, against the estimate of 214.8 mln tn in November.

India's oilmeal exports fell 50.6% on year to 157,467 tn in October, according to data released by The Solvent Extractors' Association of India. In Apr-Oct, overall exports of oilmeal were at 1.43 mln tn, down 11.5% on year. Soymeal exports fell drastically to 14,538 tn in October compared with 120,290 tn in the same period last year because the Indian variant is priced higher in international markets. In October, mustard meal exports fell about 48% on year to 52,875 tn.

India's vegetable oil imports in October fell 16.3% on year to 1.0 mln tn, the Solvent Extractors' Association of India said. India's vegetable oil imports in 2020-21 (Nov-Oct) at 13.5 mln tn is the lowest in the last six years, it said. Edible oil imports were at 1.0 mln tn in October against 1.2 mln tn a year ago, while for Nov-Oct, they decreased marginally to 13.1 mln tn from 13.2 mln tn a year ago. Imports of refined edible oils rose to 686,000 tn in 2020-21 against 421,000 tn last year while crude edible oil imports fell marginally to 12.4 mln tn from 12.8 mln tn last year. As on Nov 1, 565,000 tn of edible oil was at ports, against 558,000 tn from a year ago, while 1.14 mln tn in the pipeline against 1.0 mln tn during same period last year.

India's soymeal exports fell sharply in October to 30,000 tn from 135,000 tn in the same month last year, according to data from The Soybean Processors Association of India. The data showed soymeal production at 479,000 tn, against 758,000 tn a year ago. Farmers, traders, and mills were left with 10.5 mln tn of soybean stock by the end of October. The association said soybean arrivals in markets were at 1.5 mln tn in October, against 1.8 mln tn in the same month last year. A total of 600,000 tn of soybean was crushed in October, compared with 950,000 tn in October 2020, the data showed. The decline is likely because of a drop in arrivals of the oilseed in domestic markets.

The Centre cut basic duty on crude palm oil, crude soybean oil and crude sunflower oil from 2.5% to nil The agri-cess on these oils has been brought down from 20% to 7.5% for crude palm oil and 5% for crude soybean oil and crude sunflower oil, the Finance Ministry said. The basic duty on RBD Palmolein Oil, Refined Soybean and Refined Sunflower Oil has been slashed to 17.5% from the current 32.5%

India's 2020-21 (Jul-Jun) mustard output is seen rising 22.6% on year to 8.95 mln tn, according to a joint survey by the Central Organisation for Oil Industry and Trade and the Mustard Oil Producers' Association.

The government reduced the effective import duty on CRUDE PALM OIL to 8.25% from 24.75%, and the effective import duty on REFINED SOYOIL to 19.25% from 35.75%

The SEBI has asked the NCDEX not to launch new futures contracts of mustard seed till further notice.

India's soybean acreage in the 2021-22 (Jul-Jun) kharif season remained unchanged at 12.2 mln ha, agri ministry.

The base import tax on crude palm oil has been slashed to 2.5% from 10%, while the tax on crude soyoil and crude sunflower oil has been reduced to 2.5% from 7.5%, the government said in a notification late on Friday. The base import tax on refined grades of palm oil, soyoil and sunflower oil cut to 32.5% from 37.5%. After the cuts, crude palm oil, soyoil and sunflower oil imports will be subject to a 24.75% tax in total, including a 2.5% base import duty and other taxes, while refined grades of palm oil, soyoil and sunflower oil would carry a 35.75% tax in total.

The government allowed the import of 1.2 mln tn of genetically-modified soymeal till Oct 31 to augment supply in domestic markets, the Directorate General of Foreign Trade said in a notification.

India is likely to produce around 10 mln tn of mustard in 2020-21 (Jul-Jun), up 35% from a year ago, due to higher acreage and favourable weather conditions, according to the Solvent Extractors' Association of India.

Malaysia's crude palm oil output fell 5.3% on month to a little over 1.6 mln tn in November, according to data from the Malaysian Palm Oil Board. Persisting labour shortage issue in the country led to the decline in output. Export of palm oil in November increased 3.3% on month to 1.47 mln tn, while outbound shipments of biodiesel sharply increased by 160.2% on month to 49,972 tn. Total palm oil stocks in the country decreased 4.4% on month to around 942,354 tn as on November-end.

Malaysia's crude palm oil exports in November were at 632,943 tn, against 362,480 tn in October, according to data by private cargo surveyor Amspec Agri.

Acreage under oil palm in north-eastern states is likely to increase by 50-60% by 2025 depending on the availability of seedlings, a farm ministry source said.

COTTON

The US Department of Agriculture has scaled down its estimate for 2021-22 (Aug-Jul) global cotton production to 121.6 mln bales (1 US bale = 218 kg), from 121.8 mln bales projected a month ago. The downward revision was mainly due to a likely smaller crop in Pakistan, the agency said in its World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates report for December. Global cotton consumption is now seen slightly higher at 124.3 mln bales in 2021-22, as against 124.1 mln bales projected earlir. Exports are estimated at 47.0 mln bales, higher than the earlier projection of 46.6 mln. Exports are projected higher for Brazil and the Franc Zone. The agency has revised downward its 2021- 22 global ending stocks estimate to 85.7 mln bales from 86.9 mln bales. Cotton production in Indiais maintained at 28.0 mln bales. Domestic consumption is seen at 25.8 mln bales, while exports are estimated at 5.8 mln bales. Ending stocks for the country are seen at 10.8 mln bales for 2021-22 season, compared with 11.3 mln bales seen a month ago. In the US, production is seen slightly higher at 18.3 mln bales due to rise in yields. Exports are maintained at 15.5 mln bales. US is the top exporter of cotton.

India's cotton exports in the ongoing 2021-22 (Oct-Sep) marketing year have slowed due to higher prices in the domestic market, making overseas sales economically unviable, trade officials said.

The International Cotton Advisory Committee has lowered its forecast for global prices for 2021-22 (Aug-Jul) due to a rise in global production and ending stocks estimate, the agency said in a report. The committee revised downward its price forecast for Cotlook A Index, a global benchmark for prices of raw cotton, by 1 cent from the previous month to 103 cents per pound. In 2021-22 season, the committee estimated global ending stocks for the season at 20.5 mln tn, slightly higher than 20.4 mln tn in the previous season. Global consumption is seen almost steady at 25.6 mln tn. The agency sees global export for the season at 10.2 mln tn, as against 10.6 mln tn a year ago. Global production for the ongoing season is estimated at 25.7 mln tn, compared with 24.3 mln tn in the previous season. The rise has largely been attributed to higher production in the US and Brazil. In the US, cotton production is estimated at 3.96 mln tn, against 3.18 mln tn a year ago. Output in India, the largest producer, is expected to be 5.9 mln tn, compared with 6.0 mln tn in the previous year.

The UK-based Cotton Outlook has scaled up its estimate for global production in 2021-22 (Aug-Jul) by 97,000 tn to 26.0 mln tn, the agency said in its November report. The estimate has been revised upward as production in the African Franc zone and Turkey is expected to be higher. The agency has maintained its output estimate in the US at 3.92 mln tn. The outlook for cotton production in India, the largest producer, has been maintained at 6.17 mln tn. The production in China is seen at 5.71 mln tn. The agency maintained its estimate for global consumption in 2021- 22 at 26.15 mln tn. Global cotton ending stocks are estimated at 110,000 tn for the ongoing 2021-22 season.

The Cotton Association of India has maintained its output estimate for the 2021-22 (Oct-Sep) marketing season at 36.0 mln bales (1 bale = 170 kg. The association has estimated cotton production in north India at 5.3 mln bales. In the central zone the output is estimated at 20.4 mln bales and in the southern region, production is pegged at 9.6 mln bales. Of the total crop, around 3.1 mln bales had arrived in markets across India till October. Exports for the ongoing marketing year is pegged at 4.8 mln bales. In the current marketing year, India shipped around 400,000 bales of cotton till October. The Association has also maintained its estimate for domestic cotton consumption at 33.5 mln bales, while imports are seen at around 1.0 mln bales. Ending stock for the season has been estimated at 6.2 mln bales.

India's cotton exports have slowed down in the current marketing year that began on Oct 1 as higher domestic consumption led to a tight supply situation and a rise in local prices, said market experts. In the ongoing marketing year of 2021-22 (Oct-Sep), around 200,000 bales of cotton were exported till October. Most of the consignments were shipped to Bangladesh followed by China and Vietnam, a trade official said. "Forward export deals of 600,000- 700,000 bales of cotton for Nov-Dec delivery are still in transit, these deals were struck at a price of 115-125 cents per pound on a cost-and-freight basis," said Dharmendra Jain, director of Ahmedabad-based D.P. Cotton. Exports may touch around 900,000 bales by December, which is sharply lower than the previous year. In 2020-21, India shipped around 1.2-1.5 mln bales during Oct-Dec, industry experts said.

The new season for cotton which started on Oct 1, is expected to be good for farmers as the market price of the fibre is currently more than the minimum support price, due to firm demand and a rise in global prices.

Sowing of cotton across the country has ended and farmers have sown the crop across 12 mln ha in the 2021-22 (JulJun) kharif season, down 6% from a year ago, data from the farm ministry.

India's cotton output in the 2021-22 (Oct-Sep) marketing year is seen at 36.2 mln bales (1 bale = 170 kg), as per the median of estimates of 13 prominent players in the cotton value chain polled by Informist.

In the ongoing 2021-22 (Jul-Jun) season, cotton acreage across the country was 11.9 mln ha as on Thursday, down 5.8% from a year ago, data from the farm ministry showed.

In the Union Budget for 2021-22 (Apr-Mar), Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman proposed customs duty of 5% on cotton and 10% on cotton waste. She also proposed an Agriculture Infrastructure and Development Cess of 5% on cotton, taking the overall customs duty to 10%. Customs duty on raw silk and silk yarn or yarn spun from silk waste has been increased to 15% from 10% e

OTHERS

Farmers across the country have sown rabi chana across 9.2 mln ha as of Wednesday, up 2.4% on year, data from the farm ministry showed. The increase in area under chana is primarily due to higher sowing in the key growing states of Maharashtra and Karnataka, followed by Bihar and Telangana. In Maharashtra, farmers have sown chana across 1.8 mln ha so far in the rabi season, up 14.5% from a year ago, while in Karnataka, the area was 2.2% higher at over 1.0 mln ha. On the other hand, in Madhya Pradesh, the largest grower, chana acreage was down 2.0% on year at 2.3 mln ha.

Stockists across the country had declared nearly 3.1 mln tn of pulses stock on the official portal of Department of Consumer Affairs as on Sep 20, the government said in a release today. The maintaining of data on stocks of essential commodities is expected to ensure smooth supply at affordable prices, according to the release.

The Securities and Exchange Board of India has asked the National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange to not launch any new chana contracts on its platform till further notice, the market regulator said in a release on August 16. NCDEX has also been directed to not take any new positions for the running contracts, and only squaring up of positions will be allowed on the platform with immediate effect, according to the official release.

Government raises MSP for Rabi crops for season 2022-23. MSP for chana has increased by 2.5 % to Rs. 5230/qtl. against Rs. 5100/qtl previous year.

India’s guar gum exports increased in the month of September 2021 by 4.76% to 19,132 tonnes compared to 18,262 tonnes during Aug 2021 at an average FoB of US $ 1756 per tonne in the month of Sept’2021 as compared to US $ 1699 per tonne in the month of Aug 2021. Further, the gum shipments were up by 37.85% in Sept’2021 compared to the same period last year. Of the total exported quantity, around 7,535 tonnes is bought by US, Russia 3,261 tonnes, Germany 2,117 tonnes, china 696 tonnes, Australia 686 tonnes and Canada 547 tonnes.

India’s guar split exports increased in the month of Sept’2021 by 72.64% to 3,660 tonnes compared to 2,120 tonnes during Aug’2021 at an average FoB of US $ 1370 per tonne in the month of Sept’21 compared to US $ 1101 per tonne in the month of Aug’2021. However, the guar split shipments gone up by 485 % in Sept 2021 compared to the same period last year. Of the total exported quantity, around 3,330 tonnes bought by China, US 240 tonnes and Netherland 120 tonnes.

According to Rajasthan govt 2021-22 first advance estimates, Guar seed production estimate pegged at 13.73 lakh tonnes vs 11.36 lakh tonne last year, Additionally, 2021-22 acreage stood at 21.13 lakh hectare as compared to 24.84 lakh hectare last year. Yield pegged higher at 650 kg/Ha vs 458 kg/Ha last year.

According to Gujarat govt 2021-22 first advance estimates, Guar Seed production estimate pegged at 1.01 lakh tonne Vs 0.85 Lakh tonnes last year, Additionally, 2021-22 acreage stood at 1.21 lakh ha Vs 1.22 lakh ha. Yield pegged higher at 873 kg/ha Vs 699 Kg/ Ha last year.

The clearing arm of the National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange Ltd, the National Commodity Clearing Ltd, said today that spread benefit in initial margin will be provided across futures contracts of guar seed and guar gum. The spread margin benefit for the guar gum and guar seed contracts will be 50% of the initial margin, the clearing corp said in a circular. In case of spread positions, additional margin shall not be levied, according to the circular. Additional margins are imposed on futures contracts in order to check price volatility.

Natural rubber treaded steady to positive in the Indian market on Monday. Gains in the overseas market improved the sentiments. However, improvement in weather in the key natural rubber growing regions in Kerala and expectation of rise in supply in coming day kept gains under check. RSS4 grade rubber in the spot market steadies near Rs.17900 per 100 kg and in the futures segment, MCX December rubber futures, bounced off from its weakest level in more than six weeks to post gains for the first time in five days.

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