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Published on 14-07-2026 10:27 am

Global News

• Oil Surges as Middle East Tensions Escalate, China Trade Beats Expectations: Oil prices climbed to their highest level since the June 17 Iran-U.S. ceasefire agreement as renewed geopolitical tensions intensified supply concerns. The rally followed Iranian missile strikes on two UAE tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, the U.S. reinstating its blockade of Iranian shipping, continued U.S. airstrikes on Iran, and fresh Houthi missile attacks targeting Saudi Arabia, raising fears of disruptions to Middle East crude flows. Adding to the uncertainty, U.S. crude inventories are expected to have declined last week, further supporting oil prices. Meanwhile, China's June trade remained robust, with exports surging 27.0% YoY and imports rising 36.0%, reflecting resilient global demand

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Published on 14-07-2026 10:27 am

Economic News

• Retail Inflation up to 4.4% on costlier food, transport: India's retail inflation reached 4.4% in June, surpassing the central bank's target. Higher food and transport costs drove this increase, marking the highest print under the new CPI series. Food inflation accelerated to 5.3%, crossing the five percent mark for the first time. Core inflation moderated to 3.9%, partly due to falling gold and silver prices. Economists anticipate the Reserve Bank of India will maintain its current policy rate.

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Published on 14-07-2026 10:21 am

10 Year Benchmark Technical View :

The 10 year Benchmark (6.94% GS 2036) yield likely to move in the range of 6.72% to 6.74% level on Tuesday.

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Published on 14-07-2026 10:21 am

Global Debt Market:

US Treasury yields were broadly flat on Monday after the ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran came under increasing strain over the weekend, as the two sides traded strikes. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note the key benchmark for U.S. government borrowing rose marginally to 4.571%.The 2-year Treasury note yield, which more closely tracks short-term Federal Reserve interest rate policy, traded 1 basis point higher at 4.216%. The longer-dated 30-year Treasury bond yield was flat at 5.074%. An Iranian strike on a commercial shipping vessel over the weekend led to a fresh wave of strikes from U.S. forces. Iran responded by launching an attack on American military bases in several Gulf states, deepening a standoff over the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz. The latest exchange casts further doubt on the future of the interim peace agreement signed last month, which sought to pave the way for permanently reopening the Strait of Hormuz and ending the war after 60 days of negotiations. Iran’s strikes targeted U.S. bases in Kuwait, Bahrain, Jordan, Oman and Qatar, according to the country’s state media outlets, which described them as retaliatory measures to renewed U.S. bombings. Crude prices were up in early trading. Brent futures rose 2.4% to $77.81 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate futures advanced more than 2.4% to $73.14. The economic calendar this week is packed with a raft of data releases that could influence the trajectory of bond markets. Core inflation readings are due on Tuesday, while Kevin Warsh makes his first appearance before Congress as Fed chair later that afternoon.

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Published on 14-07-2026 10:20 am

Government Security Market:

* The Inter-bank call money rate traded in the range of 4.60%- 5.35% on Monday ended at 4.85%.

* The 10 year benchmark (6.94% GS 2036) closed at 6.7309% on Monday Vs at 6.7139% on Friday

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