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Published on 30-07-2026 10:28 am

Global News

• Dollar firms as investors digest Fed decision and escalating geopolitical tensions: The U.S. dollar gained ground in early Asian trading after the Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged, while Chair Kevin Warsh avoided signaling an imminent rate hike despite three policymakers dissenting in favor of tighter policy. The greenback also drew support from renewed safehaven demand following U.S. air strikes in Iran, reversing earlier weakness after the Fed meeting. Meanwhile, the British pound and euro slipped ahead of the Bank of England's policy decision, Treasury yields surged to multi-year highs as investors questioned the Fed's commitment to containing inflation, and markets raised expectations that the central bank will keep rates unchanged at its September meeting. Cryptocurrencies also edged higher, with Bitcoin and Ether posting modest gains.

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Published on 30-07-2026 10:28 am

Economic News

• Fertiliser industry seeks hike in subsidy rate for Kharif season due to rising raw material cost: The Fertiliser Association of India seeks higher subsidy rates for the upcoming Kharif season. Raw material prices have significantly increased, impacting domestic fertiliser production viability. Industry leaders met to review the Middle East crisis's effect on key input costs. Existing subsidy rates have not kept pace with the changed cost environment. Maintaining uninterrupted domestic production is critical for ensuring adequate stock buildup.

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Published on 30-07-2026 10:24 am

10 Year Benchmark Technical View :

The 10 year Benchmark (6.94% GS 2036) yield likely to move in the range of 6.78% to 6.8025% level on Thursday.

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Published on 30-07-2026 10:23 am

Global Debt Market:

U.S. Treasury yields edged higher on Wednesday as Wall Street awaits the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision and subsequent press conference with chair Kevin Warsh. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note the key benchmark for U.S. government borrowing rose over 1 basis point to 4.614%. The 2-year Treasury note yield, which more closely tracks short-term Federal Reserve interest rate policy, was up over 1 basis point at 4.291%. The longer-dated 30-year Treasury bond yield was broadly flat at 5.1%. The rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee is expected to leave rates unchanged at the range of 3.5% to 3.75%, with markets instead pricing in a 76% chance of a September hike, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool. Higher energy prices and renewed tensions with Iran have complicated the picture for Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh, despite cooler inflation data. While Warsh took over a Fed that has seen inflation exceed its 2% target since 2021, the consumer price index a broad measure of inflation posted an unexpected decline last month, bringing the annual inflation rate down to 3.5% in June. But in the weeks that followed, oil prices jumped again amid the escalating conflict in the Middle East. Meanwhile, U.S.-Iran tensions flared up again late Tuesday, as Iran targeted American forces in the Middle East with ballistic missiles, U.S. Central Command said. Centcom in a post on X said that the attack originated from Iran, but all missiles were intercepted. “Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps forces launched multiple ballistic missiles from Iran in an attempted surprise attack on U.S. forces based in the Middle East.”

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Published on 30-07-2026 10:23 am

Government Security Market:

* The Inter-bank call money rate traded in the range of 4.60%- 5.40% on Wednesday ended at 4.85%.

* The 10 year benchmark (6.94% GS 2036) closed at 6.7964% on Wednesday Vs at 6.7774% on Tuesday .

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