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Published on 09-12-2025 09:50 am

Market Outlook

The Nifty 50 closed at 25,960, marked a negative start to the week as selling emerged from the 26,200 level. On the daily chart, the index closed below the 20-day EMA, suggesting a potential pause or near-term consolidation phase. On the derivatives front, fresh Call OI build-up at the 26,100 and 26,200 strikes highlights an immediate resistance zone, while Put OI concentration at the 25,800 strike indicating a nearby support level, while strong support placed at 25,500.

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Published on 09-12-2025 09:33 am

Nifty

Nifty started the week on a weak footing, sliding toward the 25900 support zone and erasing gains from the previous three sessions. The decline was sharp and forced traders to unwind long positions. Price action remained weak throughout the day, with no meaningful pullback, and the index ultimately closed near its 20-DEMA support at 25940.Trend strength indicators aligned with the price weakness-RSI slipped toward the neutral 50 mark, while ADX softened to 16, reflecting a decline in directional strength. The index continues to hold a strong base near 25900, but this level is once again being tested. A follow-through close below 25900 could deteriorate sentiment further and drag the index toward levels below 25700. On the upside, only a sustained move above 26050 would revive bullish momentum and help the index re-establish its upward trajectory toward 26330-26500. Weekly expiry options data indicates firm boundaries at 26000 (resistance) and 25800 (support), with a median positioning near 25950. The PCR OI at 1.09 is not yet in oversold territory, leaving scope for additional downside if selling pressure persists during the day. Traders should stay cautious and consider a long–short combination approach until the index stabilizes above 26050. Existing long positions may be held as long as 25940 is protected on a closing basis, but fresh averaging should be avoided until clear directional strength emerges above 26050-26200.

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Published on 09-12-2025 09:32 am

Nifty

Nifty opened with a downward gap and selling pressure throughout the session dragged it lower to end negative. Nifty closed at 25961withaloss of 226 points. On the daily chart index has formed a bearish candle forming lower High-Low compare to previous session andhasclosedbelow previous session's low indicating negative bias. The chart pattern suggests that if Nifty crosses and sustains above 26050level it wouldwitness buying which would lead the index towards 26120-26200 levels. Important Supports for the day is around 25900 However if indexsustains below 25900 then it may witness profit booking which would take the index towards 25830-25690 levels.

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Published on 09-12-2025 09:31 am

Market Review

US:

US stocks pulled back on Monday as investors awaited the Federal Reserve’s last meeting of the year later this week.

Asia:

Asia-Pacific markets fell on Tuesday, mirroring losses on Wall Street as investors held back ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision on Dec. 10 stateside

India: :

Indian equities ended lower on Monday, with the Sensex and Nifty witnessing an intraday decline of up to 1% as investors locked in profits across small and midcap stocks and broadened their selling to major blue chips. The market is expected to open on a gap down note and likely to witness range bound move during the day.

Global economy:

German industrial production increased by 1.8% in October compared to the previous month, surpassing economists’ expectations of a 0.3% rise. This growth follows a 1.3% increase in September and aligns with the 1.5% uptick in manufacturing orders, signaling continued stabilization in Germany’s industrial sector.

China’s exports rebounded sharply in November, while imports grew modestly, driving the nation’s trade balance to a wider?than?expected surplus. China’s trade balance was a surplus of $111.68 bn in November, above expectations of $100.20 bn, and picked up from the $90.07 bn surplus seen in the prior month.

Hungary’s budget deficit reached 402.8 bn forint in November, expanding the country’s shortfall for the first eleven months of the year to 4.07 tn forints. The ministry attributed the widening deficit to several factors, including high debt servicing costs, increased spending on state transportation and utility infrastructure, and higher pension payments.

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Published on 09-12-2025 09:30 am

BANK NIFTY FUT TECHNICAL OUTLOOK

* Bank Nifty is expected to open on a gap down note and likely to witness range bound move during the day.

* Bank Nifty’s next immediate support is around 59170 levels on the downside and on a decisive close below expect a fall to 58970-58740.

* There is an immediate resistance at 59900-60170 levels.

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