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Kedia Commodities

SELL

Published on 04-11-2025 11:25 am

SELL JPYINR NOV @ 58 SL 58.2 TGT 57.75-57.55.

Observations

JPYINR trading range for the day is 57.73-58.13.

JPY remained in range as the Bank of Japan adopted a cautious approach to interest rate hikes.

The BOJ kept rates unchanged, with Governor Kazuo Ueda warning that global trade policies could dampen growth and corporate profits.

New Finance Minister Katayama clarified that she no longer supports her March view that the yen’s fair value is around 120–130 per dollar.

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Kedia Commodities

SELL

Published on 04-11-2025 11:24 am

SELL GBPINR NOV @ 116.9 SL 117.2 TGT 116.6-116.3.

Observations

GBPINR trading range for the day is 116.53-117.11.

GBP steadied on growing concerns about the UK's fiscal situation ahead of Finance Minister Reeves' Autumn budget on November 26.

Moreover, a further softening in wage growth and a rise in unemployment revived bets on an imminent rate cut.

Traders are pricing in a 1-in-3 chance of a 25 bps rate cut on November 6 and a roughly 68% probability of a cut by the year-end.

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Kedia Commodities

SELL

Published on 04-11-2025 11:24 am

SELL EURINR NOV @ 102.6 SL 102.9 TGT 102.3-102.

Observations

EURINR trading range for the day is 102.27-102.91.

Euro eased as investors assessed remarks from ECB officials and their implications for the central bank’s policy outlook.

ECB policymaker Galhau said the bank’s monetary stance is well positioned but could adjust if risks intensify.

Data showed Eurozone inflation cooled to just above the ECB’s 2% target, while third-quarter GDP growth exceeded expectations

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Kedia Commodities

SELL

Published on 04-11-2025 11:23 am

SELL USDINR NOV @ 88.9 SL 89 TGT 88.75-88.6.

Observations

USDINR trading range for the day is 88.76-88.98.

Rupee managed to hold above the low level on the back of likely dollar-selling market intervention by the central bank.

The HSBC India Manufacturing PMI stood at 59.2 in October 2025, above flash data of 58.4 and September's reading of 57.7.

Money markets are currently pricing in a near 70% chance of a rate cut in December, down from over 90% a week earlier, per CME's FedWatch tool.

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Nirmal Bang Securities Pvt Ltd

OUTLOOK

Published on 03-11-2025 09:11 am

Currency:

The dollar firmed to a near three-month high on Monday as investors awaited the release of data this week to gauge the health of the U.S. economy and determine whether it could alter the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance.

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