Robust Show - Monthly Sector Update - Reliance sec

Ahead of festive months, the consumer vehicle players have came out with strong dispatch numbers in Sept’16 as the festivities are two weeks ahead this year compared to last year, while the commercial vehicle players reported weak set of numbers.

Though the dealers expected some slowdown in footfall during second half of September due to Pitru Paksha – considered to be ina

5/10/2016 5:00:25 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
Oil & Gas Sector - Monthly round up – Oct’16 - Emkay Global

* Rise in crude oil price:

Brent Crude oil price was up MoM by 1.5%, mainly because of anticipation of freezing output from the meeting in September of OPEC countries. Light-Heavy (L-H) differential declined by $0.6/bbl MoM to $2.4/bbl.

 

* Refining margins and product spreads:

Calcul

5/10/2016 4:22:43 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
India Financials - Monthly credit ‐ Dismal signs of improvement yet! - Prabhudas

RBI’s monthly sectoral deployment data continue to highlight the anaemic growth in industrial credit. Though credit growth remained stagnant at 8.2% YoY in Aug’16 compared to a growth of 8.3% in Jul’16 with industrial segment growth turning negative, a scenario we have not witnessed for many years. Growth came mainly from services (12.1% YoY, 0.2% MoM), Agri (13.6% YoY, 0.6% M

5/10/2016 4:16:32 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
IT Sector - Will Sep'16 quarter lead to another round of earnings downgrade? - Emkay

* We head into an otherwise strong Sep’ quarter with sombre expectations with cautious commentary across players over the recent weeks

* While a 100-150 bps cut in Infosys’s FY17 revenue guidance is already expected (after the RBS contract cancellation and some moderation in spending momentum), we believe that street awaits more cues on the margin performance given the rev

5/10/2016 4:06:43 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
India Energy - CGD gears up to accelerate volumes - RCML

* Domestic price cuts mostly passed on:

Price cuts announced by some of the large CGD companies for retail CNG and PNG segments, as a follow up to 18% cut in domestic gas prices, seems to suggest that cost reduction has been almost fully passed on (especially for CNG). With the exception of Gujarat Gas, almost all CGD companies seemed to be content wi

5/10/2016 3:48:35 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
India Utilities - India still underpowered: Power Line Summit 2016 - RCML

Power Ministry figures paint a power-surplus picture, but India is far from providing quality power to consumers willing to pay for it, according to panelists at the Power Line Summit 2016. Also, much needs to be done to unshackle state regulatory commissions from state politics so that tariffs can be rationalised. Panel discussions among utilities, policymakers, regulators and financiers furth

5/10/2016 3:44:00 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
IT Sector - Have expectations been set low enough? - ICICI Sec

Q2FY17 is expected to witness tepid revenue momentum despite being the seasonally strongest quarter for the industry. Revenues at the top-5 large cap companies in our coverage universe are expected to grow by just 1.5% QoQ in Q2FY17 (~2.3% in CC terms) – which is the slowest Q2 growth in the past decade. However, unlike Q1FY17, investor expectations are also already reset downwards with c

4/10/2016 5:40:47 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
Metallica - Coking Coal steals the show! - Emkay

Key observations

* Global steel prices improved slightly in the month of September. Demand remained tepid. Also, China and India registered record high steel production in the month of September. Therefore, steel prices are expected to remain under pressure at its current level

* Hard coking coal price continued to rally upwards by 54% to US$

4/10/2016 5:25:43 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
Metal Sector - Weak underlying to test margins as RM firms up - ICICI Sec

The listed larger SoEs and private steel players in China are among the most efficient players and have typically contributed more towards exports. Large part of the government initiative today is to tackle/close inefficient capacities in smaller inefficient SoEs and consider a viable restructuring plan in them, including acquisition by larger SoEs. We see that the balance sheet of larger and e

4/10/2016 5:18:50 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
Banking Sector - Treasury comes to the aid - Kotak - Sec

Treasury comes to the aid.

Earnings growth is likely to be in the negative zone at 15% yoy as banks make high provisions for bad loans. We see public banks reporting lower slippages qoq, but high provisions will continue, while Axis/ICICI Bank would have very weak quarters on slippages. Treasury gains would be strong mostly used to improve coverage. We

4/10/2016 5:10:57 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
Automobiles Sector - Positive start to festive season - ICICI Sec

Two wheelers: Eicher and Yamaha indicate strength, incumbents awaited

* Royal Enfield (RE) sales continued to stay above the 50,000 mark, and have also been growing MoM for five straight months since May. RE volumes grew by 30% YoY to 55,842 units (H1FY17: up 34% YoY).

* India Yamaha Motors (Yamaha) volumes crossed the 100,000 mark and record

4/10/2016 4:49:37 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
Nifty FMCG has immediate support placed at 21000 levels - GEPL

NIFTY FMCG   Current Close: 21542.05    Trend : Negative

Observation

* NIFTY FMCG is one of the most underperforming sectoral indices last week, as it has closed down by 3.47% at 21542.05, as against a down move of 2.50% in benchmark NIFTY 50.

* The Sector has made an all time high @ 23219.30 few week

4/10/2016 4:19:31 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
Nifty Media holds Bullish momentum - GEPL

NIFTY MEDIA   Current Close: 2969.80   Trend : Positive

Observation

* NIFTY MEDIA is the only POSITIVE sector amongst all the indices last week, as it has moved up by 1.32%, as against a down move of 2.50% in benchmark NIFTY 50.

* In the previous week, the Sector has made an All Time High at 3034.15 and al

4/10/2016 4:10:00 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
Spectrum Auction Saw Tepid Response from Telcos on Day 2 - Dynamic Levels

Seven telecom companies namely Bharti Airtel, Vodafone, Idea Cellular, Reliance Jio, Aircel, Reliance Communications and Tata Teleservices are in the fracas for attaining 3G and 4G airwaves. It is going to be essential for retaining competitive edge in the market and offering next generation services in the world's 2nd largest telecom market.

The most important telecom operators B

4/10/2016 3:15:17 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
India Energy - Domestic gas prices now below Henry hub - RCML

* Domestic gas prices now one of the lowest in the world..:

The government has maintained status quo on the gas pricing formula, allowing price to fall 18% to US$ 2.50/mmbtu (GCV, ~US$ 2.8/mmbtu on NCV) for period from Oct’16 to Mar’17. Considering the formula is based on international gas prices for a period of Jul’15 to Jun’16

3/10/2016 4:28:54 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
India IT Services - Q2 Preview: Slow growth to pressurise margins - RCML

We expect another weak quarter of US$ growth for our IT universe in Q2FY17 as performance remains challenged across players. Large-caps are likely to report US$ revenue growth of only (0.5)-2.4% QoQ (organic), with INFO leading the pack and WPRO at the bottom end. Overall performance for large-caps under our coverage would be mixed as the sector grapples with lower growth and FX headwinds. Amon

3/10/2016 4:14:57 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
Power Sector - Monsoons dampen demand; Lead to flat generation - Emkay

Monsoons dampen demand; Lead to flat generation

Key highlights

* Generation remained flat at 0.1% YoY in August’2016, as demand across the agriculture sector was down due to improved YoY rainfall

* With moderate demand and flat generation, the overall industry PLF declined by 438 bps YoY to 42.

3/10/2016 4:08:28 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
Tyre Companies Gather Momentum - Dynamic Levels

We are positive in tyre sector as the demand for passenger vehicles in the Indian market have gathered momentum on the backdrop of above average monsoons, significant improvements have been observed in the current market sentiment. A wide range of new and affordable models have triggered the onset good times in the Passenger Vehicle segment. Renault has been the pick of the lot as it declared t

1/10/2016 4:25:25 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
IT Services - Accenture’s guidance implies moderation ahead - Emkay

* Accenture (Unrated) continues to beat guidance and consensus expectations as has been the case through the past few quarters. Company has reported a double digit revenue growth for 2 years in a row albeit the trajectory seems to be a tad moderating

* Accenture guides for a 5-8% local currency growth in FY17 but highlights that macro uncertainty would limit any case for outperformanc

30/09/2016 4:23:51 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
India IT Services - Accenture: Steady Q4, FY17 guidance a tad below estimates - RCML

Accenture’s (ACN) Q4FY16 revenues at US$ 8.5bn (+9% YoY LC) came in line, with the consulting segment leading growth. New bookings were up 4% YoY LC to US$ 9bn. However the first full-year revenue growth guidance for FY17 at 5-8% was a tad below expectations and a sentiment-negative for the sector given that ACN has had a solid FY16 with 10.5% LC growth. While ACN is having tough comps, i

30/09/2016 3:30:58 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
India Financials: Credit Tracker - Credit growth slips to 9.3% - RCML

As per RBI data, credit growth for the fortnight ended 16 Sep declined to 9.3% YoY while deposit growth remained stable at 9.9%. Investment growth increased marginally to 7.5% YoY, while SLR declined to 26.8%. Credit growth has been weak over the last few months due to low corporate demand and a lack of fresh investments. We do not see material improvement ahead and forecast 12% YoY growth for

29/09/2016 5:52:53 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
Agri Input & Chemicals - Agri Digest – Monsoon slowdown moderates optimism - Emkay

* After encouraging start of the monsoon followed by favourable forecast by weather forecasting agencies (IMD and Skymet), current month has witnessed relatively poor rainfall leading to downward revision in cumulative monsoon forecast at 3% below LPA

* Slowdown in monsoon has adversely affected the sentiments among the farmers and dealers resulting into some moderation in demand. Inc

29/09/2016 5:45:25 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
India Energy - Efficiency gains for OMCs; prefer IOCL - RCML

Our analysis indicates an improvement in most parameters for oil marketing companies (OMCs) over the last 4 years. While IOCL has lagged in terms of profitability, HPCL’s and BPCL’s profitability seems to have peaked out. We remain bullish on cyclical business, on robust fundamentals from rising consumption, higher complex GRMs and petrochemical cracks. We adjust estimates to factor

29/09/2016 4:32:26 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
Auto Sector: A Game Changer In The Current Market Value? - Dynamic Levels

As the bull market in India heads into 7 straight months of gain, one sector which has stood out and outperformed is the Auto Sector. This sector has gained not only from cost benefits but also from topline growth in sales.

 

Raw materials:

As the global economy is still recovering from a period of slow growth, commodity prices

29/09/2016 4:00:01 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
Pharmaceuticals Update - Kotak Sec

Post underperforming the overall markets for the earlier part of the fiscal, Nifty Pharma has outperformed the overall markets in recent times. Nifty has risen 8% over the last three months whereas Nifty Pharma rose by 10.7%. The coming months would see news flows around plant inspections and probably resolutions of a few of pending issues. With a host of companies lined up to bid for certain a

28/09/2016 5:46:00 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news