Opening Bell: Markets likely to get flat-to-negative start on Tuesday
Indian markets ended higher for the sixth session on Friday as healthy corporate earnings and fresh foreign fund inflows offset negative cues from global markets. Besides, benchmark indices ended on strong note on the first day (Muhurat Day) of Samvat 2079 with Nifty finishing above 17,700. Today, the start of holiday shortened session is likely be flat-to-negative tracking mixed cues from Asian peers. Markets will be remain close on October 26 (Wednesday) on account of Diwali-Balipratipada. Traders will be concerned as the RBI said India’s forex reserves dropped by $4.50 billion to $528.37 billion for the week ended October 14. According to the Weekly Statistical Supplement released by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), Foreign Currency Assets (FCA), a major component of the overall reserves, saw a drop of $2.828 billion to $468.668 billion during the week to October 14. Some cautiousness will also come as foreign investors have pulled out close to Rs 6,000 crore from the Indian equity markets so far this month in the wake of strength in the US dollar against the rupee. With this, the total outflow by Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) has reached Rs 1.75 trillion so far in 2022, data with the depositories showed. However, some support may come as the finance ministry said in its monthly economic review for September stated that India’s growth and stability concerns are less than that of the world at large, and estimated the country’s medium-term growth rate above 6 percent. There will be some buzz in banking stocks as the Reserve Bank of India's weekly statistical supplement showed that Indian banks' loans rose 17.9% in the two weeks to Oct. 7 from a year earlier, while deposits rose 9.6%. Sugar industry stocks will be in focus with a private report that the government will soon announce the sugar export quota for the marketing year that started on October 1, which would be substantially lower than the 2021-22 level. There will be some reaction in infrastructure industry stocks with report that as many as 384 infrastructure projects, each entailing an investment of Rs 150 crore or more, have been hit by cost overruns of more than Rs 4.52 lakh crore.
The US markets ended higher on Monday as signs of economic softness suggested the effects of the Fed's aggressive policy aimed at cooling the economy, thereby curbing decades-high inflation, are beginning to take root. Asian markets are trading mixed on Tuesday despite positive cues from Wall Street overnight.
Back home, Indian equity benchmarks managed to end in the positive territory after facing volatility in the latter part of the trade on Friday amid gains in banking and Financial Services stocks. Key gauges made positive start and stayed in green for most part of the day, as traders took some support with Commerce Secretary Sunil Barthwal’s statement that there is a huge scope for India to move in the global value chain systems and have high value-addition in global exports. However, key gauges erased all the gains and traded with minor cuts in final hour of trade amid concerns over Labour Ministry data showing retail inflation for farm and rural workers increased to 7.69 percent and 7.9 percent respectively in September this year. The hike was attributed to higher prices of certain food items. But, selling proved short-lived as markets bounced back in green, taking support from Union Minister of Commerce and Industry, Consumer Affairs, Food and Public Distribution and Textiles, Piyush Goyal’s statement that the world currently is looking at India with great confidence. Meanwhile, Indian equity markets maintained their bullishness on the special Muhurat trading session on account of Diwali on Monday with both the major indices managing to settle above their psychological levels of 59,800 (Sensex) and 17,700 (Nifty), giving indications that markets will likely remain bullish during the current Hindu calendar year 'Samvat 2079' with investors reaping rich gains. Traders believe that trades executed during this time brings prosperity and wealth throughout the year. Key gauges made a gap up opening and traded with traction in tight band as traders remained optimistic about Indian markets on the back of better than expected Q2 numbers by Indian companies. During the short session of trade broader markets too performed in line with benchmarks and all the sectoral gauges barring FMGG ended in green with capital goods, industrial and financial services garnering the maximum gains. Finally, the BSE Sensex soared 524.51 points or 0.88% to 59,831.66 and the CNX Nifty was up by 154.45 points or 0.88% to 17,730.75.
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