02-08-2021 09:26 AM | Source: Yes Securities Ltd
Buy Alkem Laboratories Ltd For Target Rs.2,930 - Yes Securities
News By Tags | #3108 #872 #642 #1302 #5124

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Q3 FY21 call highlights

* Healthy traction in chronic and market share growth in acute seen as sustainable trends

* Marketing cost optimization to offset natural rebound in expenses as domestic sales revive from in FY22

* Raise FY21 estimates by 6% on better than expected Q3 margin which effectively defers costs to FY22 leaving EPS for FY22/23 largely unchanged

* Believe stock trading at attractive 18x FY23 EPS; BUY stays on unchanged target PE of 22x FY23 EPS, at a moderate discount to chronic plays like Ajanta Pharma

 

Guidance

* Maintains guidance of 200bps margin expansion (in FY19 margin was around 17.5% and the management expects margin expansion from the FY19 number).

* Gross margin will be in 60‐62% range  

* US business is expected to grow at around 15% for next year.

* Confident of filing 12‐15 ANDA and launch 8‐10 products every year.

* Trade generics has outperformed the branded business in Q3; next year share to decline

* India business registered growth due to growth in chronic segment.

* Marketing cost optimization to continue  

* Capex for 9MFY21E‐ Rs1.3 bn.

* Indore facility is awaiting inspections from the USFDA.

* Gained market share in big brands and going forward will be looking to re‐structure in the acute segment in the next fiscal year.

* Other income is higher due to sale of asset and asset monetization (sale of brand to Abbott).

 

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