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Published on 15/04/2019 10:29:45 AM | Source: HT Media

Infosys falls 5% on weak revenue guidance

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Shares of Infosys Ltd on Monday fell as much as 4.6%, its steepest fall in six month, after many brokerages downgraded the stock on disappointing revenue forecast.

The stock fell as much as 4.56%, the maximum fall since 11 October 2018, to hit a low of ₹713.70 a share. At 9.36 am, the scrip was trading at ₹713.70 on BSE, down 2.8% from its previous close. India's benchmark Sensex rose 0.14% to 38822.04 points.

The company said revenue will increase 7.5% to 9.5% in constant currency terms in the year ending March 2020. It forecast an operating margin 21 to 23% for fiscal year 2020 estimates, from earlier guidance of 22-24% for fiscal year 2019.

The negative surprise on margin guidance is due to continued investments for future growth (including enhancing digital competencies, large deal capabilities and localisation, among others). However, the management stated that the aggressive investments on sales revitalization are completed and the pace of investments will be less intensified in fiscal year 2020 estimates.

Also read : TCS, Infosys provide a solid start to Q4 earnings season

"The modest financial performance and unexciting outlook mean a valuation discount over TCS and it should further widen to 25% from the current levels of 10%", said Emkay Research in a 2 April note. The brokerage has maintained its sell rating with target price of ₹630 a share.

Brokerage firm Philip Capital has downgraded the stock to neutral and reduced its target price to ₹720 a share from ₹800 earlier. Nomura Research downgraded the stock to reduce from neutral and set price target at ₹680 a share. Credit Suisse has cut to underperform from neutral and lowered its target to ₹650 a share from ₹770.

BoB Capital has downgraded to add from buy and cut its target price to ₹820 a share from ₹830 a share.

HDFC Securities in a 13 April note said that Infosys’ softening FY19 margin trajectory (-150bps vs.+80bps for TCS despite INR tailwinds), is expected to continue over FY20 (-160bps erosion).

"Current valuations amply reflect our estimates USD rev/EPS CAGR of 10/7% over FY19-21E. The ongoing buyback ( ₹82.60bn started March-end) may restrict near-term downside. Risks to our thesis include slowdown in US/Europe macro and INR appreciation are downside risk to estimates", HDFC Securities report added.

Of the analysts covering the stock, 34 have a “buy" rating, ten have a “hold" rating, while six have a “sell" rating, shows Bloomberg data.

Meanwhile shares of Tata Consultancy Services Ltd have rose 3% after it posted an 18% rise in quarterly profit that beat estimates, boosted by deals for services encompassing cloud computing and artificial intelligence.