Power Sector - Monsoons dampen demand; Lead to flat generation - Emkay

Monsoons dampen demand; Lead to flat generation

Key highlights

* Generation remained flat at 0.1% YoY in August’2016, as demand across the agriculture sector was down due to improved YoY rainfall

* With moderate demand and flat generation, the overall industry PLF declined by 438 bps YoY to 42.

3/10/2016 4:08:28 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
Tyre Companies Gather Momentum - Dynamic Levels

We are positive in tyre sector as the demand for passenger vehicles in the Indian market have gathered momentum on the backdrop of above average monsoons, significant improvements have been observed in the current market sentiment. A wide range of new and affordable models have triggered the onset good times in the Passenger Vehicle segment. Renault has been the pick of the lot as it declared t

1/10/2016 4:25:25 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
IT Services - Accenture’s guidance implies moderation ahead - Emkay

* Accenture (Unrated) continues to beat guidance and consensus expectations as has been the case through the past few quarters. Company has reported a double digit revenue growth for 2 years in a row albeit the trajectory seems to be a tad moderating

* Accenture guides for a 5-8% local currency growth in FY17 but highlights that macro uncertainty would limit any case for outperformanc

30/09/2016 4:23:51 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
India IT Services - Accenture: Steady Q4, FY17 guidance a tad below estimates - RCML

Accenture’s (ACN) Q4FY16 revenues at US$ 8.5bn (+9% YoY LC) came in line, with the consulting segment leading growth. New bookings were up 4% YoY LC to US$ 9bn. However the first full-year revenue growth guidance for FY17 at 5-8% was a tad below expectations and a sentiment-negative for the sector given that ACN has had a solid FY16 with 10.5% LC growth. While ACN is having tough comps, i

30/09/2016 3:30:58 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
India Financials: Credit Tracker - Credit growth slips to 9.3% - RCML

As per RBI data, credit growth for the fortnight ended 16 Sep declined to 9.3% YoY while deposit growth remained stable at 9.9%. Investment growth increased marginally to 7.5% YoY, while SLR declined to 26.8%. Credit growth has been weak over the last few months due to low corporate demand and a lack of fresh investments. We do not see material improvement ahead and forecast 12% YoY growth for

29/09/2016 5:52:53 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
Agri Input & Chemicals - Agri Digest – Monsoon slowdown moderates optimism - Emkay

* After encouraging start of the monsoon followed by favourable forecast by weather forecasting agencies (IMD and Skymet), current month has witnessed relatively poor rainfall leading to downward revision in cumulative monsoon forecast at 3% below LPA

* Slowdown in monsoon has adversely affected the sentiments among the farmers and dealers resulting into some moderation in demand. Inc

29/09/2016 5:45:25 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
India Energy - Efficiency gains for OMCs; prefer IOCL - RCML

Our analysis indicates an improvement in most parameters for oil marketing companies (OMCs) over the last 4 years. While IOCL has lagged in terms of profitability, HPCL’s and BPCL’s profitability seems to have peaked out. We remain bullish on cyclical business, on robust fundamentals from rising consumption, higher complex GRMs and petrochemical cracks. We adjust estimates to factor

29/09/2016 4:32:26 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
Auto Sector: A Game Changer In The Current Market Value? - Dynamic Levels

As the bull market in India heads into 7 straight months of gain, one sector which has stood out and outperformed is the Auto Sector. This sector has gained not only from cost benefits but also from topline growth in sales.

 

Raw materials:

As the global economy is still recovering from a period of slow growth, commodity prices

29/09/2016 4:00:01 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
Pharmaceuticals Update - Kotak Sec

Post underperforming the overall markets for the earlier part of the fiscal, Nifty Pharma has outperformed the overall markets in recent times. Nifty has risen 8% over the last three months whereas Nifty Pharma rose by 10.7%. The coming months would see news flows around plant inspections and probably resolutions of a few of pending issues. With a host of companies lined up to bid for certain a

28/09/2016 5:46:00 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
Aviation Sector - Improving sector dynamics - ICICI Sec

Domestic Airlines have been stressed by intense pricing pressure during most of the 1HCY16. However, there are signs of reversal in the same with better than expected yields in Q2FY17 and better supply side dynamics. Our thesis of supply side growth lagging the traffic growth has played out well with domestic Available Seat Kilometer (ASK) growing by 20%/19% compared to significantly higher dom

28/09/2016 5:37:37 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
Retail Sector - Wooing customers to reduce Gold woes - Emkay

* Indian gold demand declined by 18% yoy in Q1FY17, adversely impacted by higher gold prices, new regulatory measures to curb black money and challenging consumer sentiment. We believe that normal monsoons, uptick in consumer demand and higher number of wedding days in H2FY17 will be key drivers

* Organised retailers are likely to benefit from increased regulatory measures in the long

28/09/2016 5:02:18 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
India Automobiles: Model Watch - Festive cheer boosts sales - RCML

Both 2Ws and 4Ws grew at 15%+ YoY in Aug’16 led by a weak base and channel filling ahead of the festive season. Hero’s sub-110cc motorcycle volumes grew 26% YoY while Honda’s 36% growth led scooter segment sales. Among 4Ws, UVs grew 47% YoY helped by new launches. Maruti’s UV market share has caught up with Mahindra’s (25.6% vs. 26%), but it has conceded mini-car s

28/09/2016 4:32:47 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
Time to Invest in Textile in the Bull Market - Dynamic Levels

This sector started performing post Budget as:

* 100% FDI is allowed under the automatic route in the textile sector; investment is subject to all applicable regulations and laws.

* Government introduced the scheme for integrated Textile Parks, this will provide world class infrastructure to the sector. Till date 57 textile parks have been st

28/09/2016 4:12:06 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
Telecom Sector - RJIO aggression disrupts voice estimates - ICICI Sec

In an exercise to reassess our projections for the sector, we have cut our voice tariff by 20% in next two years, but maintain our data tariffs. We ascribe an aggressive RMS of 10.2% to Reliance Jio (RJIO) by FY20E (~50% of inc. industry RMS). We see a slower revenue growth of ~5% for Bharti/Idea during FY16-FY18E. We see tailwinds in Bharti’s cost, thus restricting EBITDA margin contract

28/09/2016 4:05:20 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
Nifty FMCG has immediate support placed at 21600 levels - GEPL

NIFTY FMCG   Current Close: 22315.75   Trend : Negative

Observation

* NIFTY FMCG is one of the most underperforming sectoral indices last week, as it has closed down by 1.96% at 22315.75, as against an up move of 0.59% in benchmark NIFTY 50.

* The Sector has made an all time high @ 23219.30 couple of week

27/09/2016 12:16:31 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
Nifty CPSE holds Bullish momentum - GEPL

NIFTY CPSE   Current Close: 2259.05   Trend : Positive

Observation

* NIFTY CPSE is one of the outperforming sectors amongst the indices last week, as it has moved up by 2.51%, as against an up move of 0.59% in benchmark NIFTY 50.

* The Sector has given a break out from the long term downward slopping Tren

27/09/2016 12:11:29 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
RCom, Aircel to Bid Separately in Spectrum Auction - Dynamic Levels

Telecom operators Reliance Communications (RCom) and Aircel, which had announced their merger on the last date of submission of the spectrum auction application, plan to bid separately in the upcoming spectrum auction where all the 7 applicants - Reliance Jio, Bharti Airtel, Idea Cellular, Vodafone, Tata Teleservices,RCom and Aircel, have made it to the final list of bidders. According to the i

25/09/2016 5:46:05 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
MarketFresh: FMCG Tracker - Input costs rise MoM; offer intensity still high - RCML

The RCML RM index increased sequentially (+1.9% MoM) in Aug’16, with prices of both crude and agri baskets inching up. We saw fresh pricing action in biscuits (BRIT – Tiger +7.3% MoM; 50-50 Maska Chaska +10% MoM) and skin care (HUVR – FAL multivitamin cream: +3.1% MoM), even as overall promotion intensity remained high. With sales growth likely to remain anemic in FY17 and mar

25/09/2016 5:36:58 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
Pharma Sector - Growth revives but sustainability uncertain - Emkay

Indian Pharma Market- Monthly Checkup

* Indian Pharmaceutical market (IPM) exhibited robust growth for second consecutive month at 18.4% in August 2016 as against growth of 14.9% in July 2016 and growth of 9.8% in June 2016

* Better monsoon and uncertain climate has resulted in many seasonal related ailments which has led to strong growth in

25/09/2016 5:22:20 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
Tracking Steel Dynamics - Domestic consumption lags output; China still a worry! - Emkay

Amid expectations of stronger demand, the data continues to show tepid growth in steel consumption in India. As per the JPC (Joint Plant Committee) data, the YTDFY17 finished steel consumption growth has been just 1.3%, while, production growth of finished steel has been robust at ~8% for YTDFY17. Meanwhile, despite substantial fall in imports and jump in exports, India continues to be a net im

23/09/2016 4:53:17 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
Cement Sector - Price survey, production analysis and capacity details - Emkay

* In most parts of the Northern region, cement prices declined by Rs5-10/bag in the last one month. Dealers have been notified about price hikes of Rs10-20/bag in few parts of the region, but that has not become effective till now

* Cement prices declined by Rs5-20/bag in most of the Central region in last one month, barring Indore, where dealers indicated price hike of Rs5/bag. Deman

23/09/2016 4:24:18 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
FMCG Sector - Premiumisation – Way to grow - Emkay

What to look for in the next five years…

Premiumisation to eclipse volume as growth driver

* With penetration levels peaking out in most of the categories, focus is on premiumisation. This is evident in the emerging trend of rising proportion of premium products

* Leaders are increasingly ackn

22/09/2016 4:34:12 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
Ports - The August PORTfolio - Emkay Global

Key highlights

* Indian Major Ports handled 51.9 mn MT in the month of August 2016, a growth of 2% YoY, however declined 3.4% MoM, growth was seen in POL (+8.9% YoY), containers (+3.7% YoY) and other cargo (+26.3% YoY) offset by decline in other liquids (-19.6% YoY), coal (-9.9% YoY), iron ore (-62.9% YoY) and fertlisers (-24.3% YoY)

* Mormug

22/09/2016 4:27:40 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news
Cement Sector - Cost push increasing; realization growth to offset impact - Motilal Oswal

Power and fuel cost to remain firm in short term

* Average petcoke price increased 30% QoQ and imported coal price increased 18% QoQ in 2QFY17.

* This is likely to result in an INR58-102/ton or 6-26% increase in power and fuel cost for cement companies from 1QFY17 levels for the remaining part of FY17.

* However, EBITDA/ton is unli

21/09/2016 6:02:45 PM | Posted in Broking Firm Views - Sector Report read full news